TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c50…e0c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
422
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT42131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 421 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.81
Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Viktor Frydrychbacked Viktor Frydrych · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Cincinnati Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.26
Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,318.55
ITF M15 Trier Men: Adrian Oetzbach vs Thiago Cigarranbacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.59
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,404Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$6,081.34
Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.02
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$5,184.23
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,300
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,818.18
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinkabacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+300%+$6,000
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,757.03
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$4,273.15
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$3,550.78
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760.61
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,001
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$6,695.65
Showing 25 of 421 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,084.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.