Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6664d59042c60b97d7ab05a8646f514aa2c7a8542154baa887ba369ad0989e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Learner Tienof Learner Tien, Tommy Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd104…710bbacked Tommy Paul | 62c | 23,498$14,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,568.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Tommy Paul | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Learner Tien | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Learner Tien | 68c | 15,931$10,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.69 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Tommy Paul | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.99 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Learner Tien | 38c | 11,000$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,820 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Tommy Paul | 33c | 9,824$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.55 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tommy Paul | 4c | 9,743$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Tommy Paul | 52c | 9,540$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tommy Paul | 16c | 9,020$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tommy Paul | 3c | 9,005$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Learner Tien | 38c | 7,978$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.38 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Learner Tien | 46c | 7,973$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.15 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Learner Tien | 68c | 7,802$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 6,250$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tommy Paul | 25c | 6,071$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Learner Tien | 38c | 6,022$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.57 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 5,464$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.81 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Tommy Paul | 3c | 5,288$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 5,097$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.03 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tommy Paul | 3c | 5,024$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Learner Tien | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…5e9bbacked Tommy Paul | 62c | 4,420$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Learner Tien | 42c | 4,218$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.22 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Learner Tien | 51c | 3,855$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.75 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tommy Paul | 62c | 3,619$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.1 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Tommy Paul | 57c | 3,201$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.6 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tommy Paul | 62c | 3,152$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.24 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Tommy Paul | 32c | 3,137$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.73 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Learner Tien | 73c | 3,107$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.49 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Learner Tien | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Learner Tien | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…0dd9backed Tommy Paul | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Tommy Paul | 17c | 2,370$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Learner Tien | 38c | 2,368$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.42 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Learner Tien | 48c | 2,090$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.79 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Learner Tien | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.64 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Learner Tien | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Learner Tien | 39c | 1,998$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.77 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Learner Tien | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tommy Paul | 22c | 1,944$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.26 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Tommy Paul | 37c | 1,874$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.43 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Learner Tien | 39c | 1,842$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.62 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tommy Paul | 58c | 1,731$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.83 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Learner Tien | 79c | 1,678$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…e1a5backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 1,647$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Learner Tien | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Learner Tien | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Learner Tien | 39c | 1,559$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.97 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Learner Tien | 40c | 1,514$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Learner Tien | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Tommy Paul | 32c | 1,440$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Learner Tien | 38c | 1,405$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.36 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tommy Paul | 35c | 1,316$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Learner Tien | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.61 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Learner Tien | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Learner Tien | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Learner Tien | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Learner Tien | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Learner Tien | 38c | 968.24$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.31 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Learner Tien | 38c | 944.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.6 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Tommy Paul | 12c | 923.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Tommy Paul | 57c | 887.38$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.12 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Tommy Paul | 63c | 810.05$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.28 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Learner Tien | 38c | 793.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…0bb4backed Learner Tien | 67c | 791.19$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Learner Tien | 76c | 748.86$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Learner Tien | 37c | 743$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Learner Tien | 39c | 741.1$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 717.87$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.29 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tommy Paul | 55c | 690.75$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Learner Tien | 53c | 680.26$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Tommy Paul | 6c | 677.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Tommy Paul | 9c | 655.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Learner Tien | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Tommy Paul | 36c | 614.81$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Learner Tien | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Tommy Paul | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Learner Tien | 37c | 590$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Learner Tien | 42c | 571$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Learner Tien | 71c | 570.1$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Tommy Paul | 8c | 567.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Tommy Paul | 62c | 560$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Tommy Paul | 9c | 543.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Learner Tien | 67c | 535.42$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Tommy Paul | 55c | 518.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed Tommy Paul | 56c | 510.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Tommy Paul | 11c | 504.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Tommy Paul | 61c | 499.94$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Tommy Paul | 62c | 492$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Tommy Paul | 61c | 476.19$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Learner Tien | 43c | 469.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…9450backed Learner Tien | 38c | 464.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Learner Tien | 68c | 443.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…ba55backed Tommy Paul | 49c | 440.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Learner Tien | 38c | 435$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tommy Paul | 27c | 424.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Tommy Paul | 49c | 401$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Learner Tien vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- National Bank Open: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Tommy PaulYes won
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs PaulTien won
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Tien won
- Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.