TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa06a…d284

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,885.63
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.46
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,917.22
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$832.65
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.72
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$486.34
Cincinnati Open: Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.4
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,475.41
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkovabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.65
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfilsbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$7,011.77
Cincinnati Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$938.48
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,537.23
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,938Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$2,723.73
Cincinnati Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Magdalena Frechbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.45
Cincinnati Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lois Boissonbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,214.03
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,160.03
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$674.5
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,655.52
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,863Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,249.49
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.59
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$540.16
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$551.78
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$691.76
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$588
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$1,404.25
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,382.11
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,448.27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,225.81
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,061.14
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$480
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.38
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$528.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51%+$249.33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.24
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$345.88
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,504.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$1,291.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$851.35
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,035.29
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,210.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$227.48
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$359.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,210.78
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$1,970.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.7
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,015
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.