MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e903b237f3f03d2999dca850f002cfea6231ce459349ed1c852f370e8e7fc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $543,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 44,888$19,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,137.29 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 34,445$12,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,996.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 78c | 32,059$25,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 19,036$9,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,471.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 17,757$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 17,542$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 14,429$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.96 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 13,369$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 13,207$7,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810.86 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 12,776$7,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390.46 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 11,112$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 9,260$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.29 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 8,776$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.58 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 7,438$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.52 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 6,691$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,700$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.07 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 5,556$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.17 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.6 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 3,575$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,572$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.16 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 3,240$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 3,184$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,936$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.05 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 2,748$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.3 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 2,683$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,511$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…389dbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 2,486$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.77 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 2,255$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,071$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 2,043$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 2,026$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 1,936$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Chicago White Sox | 73c | 1,902$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.25 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,720$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,666$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.48 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,632$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,569$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.78 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,471$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 1,440$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago White Sox | 70c | 1,416$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,313$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,136$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.14 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,127$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,082$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,024$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,005$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…dd59backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 988.68$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 986.74$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 967.92$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.75 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 939.05$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 905.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 897.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…e040backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 850$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…cad2backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 842.94$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…0282backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 746.54$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 735.33$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.14 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 713.31$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.23 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…40a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 698.4$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 683.95$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.09 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 679.82$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.73 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 634$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.6 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 620.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 619.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 587.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 577.6$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 561.93$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.68 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…dc04backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 550$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 547.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.17 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 516.09$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 510$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…6538backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 500.24$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…75b3backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 470.24$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 465.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 465$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 450.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…6b32backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…c0e2backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 445$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.65 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 408.24$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 404.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…67c8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…fe21backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.