TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3603…22ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
781
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT51849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 518 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$140
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$140
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Trey Yesavage: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Zack Littell: Strikeouts O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$129.24
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Jesús Luzardo: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$53.25
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$251.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Ranger Suarez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Shota Imanaga: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.81
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Showing 25 of 518 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT26345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 263 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$95.47
Set 1 Winner: Gentzsch vs Pirosbacked Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$303.07
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.64
Jovic vs. Korneeva: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$137.4
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.82
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$175
Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.99
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Atmanebacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+261.8%+$113.09
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$217.5
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$127.6
Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.49
National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$175
Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.49
Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs Fritzbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguetbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Bonzi vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.5
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagalbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Fritz vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Set Handicap: Gentzsch (-1.5) vs Dahlin (+1.5)backed Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Showing 25 of 263 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.