Tennis · resolved market
Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa94d114d0d582cdaf2b40e41379568ef8d104406870ad4d344c26bad407112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 58c | 9,637$5,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.43 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 5,025$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.35 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 43c | 2,643$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.56 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 2,161$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.13 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 40c | 1,101$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.33 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 58c | 977.15$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 42c | 814.78$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 697.84$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.97 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 42c | 590.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed Over | 56c | 578.95$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 61c | 491$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 21c | 360.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 40c | 345.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 332.86$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 42c | 282.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 41c | 249.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 42c | 236.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Over | 57c | 215.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 42c | 214.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 42c | 183.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 56c | 177.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 42c | 176$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 56c | 141.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Over | 59c | 127.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 42c | 95.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Over | 56c | 89.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 59c | 66.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 59c | 65.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…0664backed Over | 59c | 49.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 41.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Over | 59c | 33.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 60c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 60c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 48c | 32.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 41c | 29.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Over | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Over | 56c | 22.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Over | 60c | 17.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.