Tennis · resolved market
Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad01ff0c85027bb189174d9cc93483875bd079d7a2dfad1f4055477b92c74f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 11,531$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 7,500$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 7,493$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Over | 52c | 3,191$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 49c | 3,040$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.44 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Over | 54c | 2,322$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.74 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 1,901$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.63 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…d893backed Over | 53c | 1,898$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.39 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.39 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Under | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 649.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 51c | 588.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…a401backed Over | 51c | 481$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 430.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 51c | 349$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 292$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Over | 50c | 270.1$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 56c | 266.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Over | 51c | 196.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 40c | 191.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 51c | 188.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 51c | 188.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 51c | 146.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 129.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 13c | 111.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 51c | 94.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 88.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 52c | 88.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Under | 57c | 85.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 84.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…aaaabacked Over | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 51c | 75.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 37c | 66.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 40.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 51c | 38.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Over | 51c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 33.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Over | 51c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae9c…d59dbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.