TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ba0…ff3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
682
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT43158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 431 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basingbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.43
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.11
Plovdiv 2: George Lazarov vs Yanaki Milevbacked Yanaki Milev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Istanbul 2: Tiago Pereira vs Max Basingbacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squirebacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warsaw: Teodora Kostovic vs Martyna Kubkabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$546
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shangbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Vancouver: Maddison Inglis vs Mai Hontamabacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Mili Poljicakbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Samsun: Paul Inchauspe vs Yanki Erelbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Arthur Geabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 431 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST7157.7%41 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$49.47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$76.72
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$69.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$101.98
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$82.17
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$27.15
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.4%+$99.8
Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$122.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$76.05
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+93.1%+$93.08
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40.73
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+67.1%+$134.17
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+59.4%+$36.53
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+138.1%+$130.91
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.4%+$30.44
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$141.37
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$34.67
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5858.6%34 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.65
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+43.7%+$29.72
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+102%+$30.61
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.2%+$25.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ARCRED (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs BOSS (BO3)backed Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$82.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$112.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$81.13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.1%+$90.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$46.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+94%+$469.94
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.39
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$26.1
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$29.08
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$14.38
Reds vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$29.17
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$29.14
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$22.84
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+54.5%+$38.15
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+32.8%+$15.42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$42.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+48.1%+$24.03
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+99.4%+$99.4
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$14.71
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.58
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$26.35
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Göztepe SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Samsunspor vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Viking FK win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will FC København win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$75.37
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$46.88
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+30.7%+$30.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$40.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$32.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.