Fifa International · resolved market
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e0efaccef98ac0c2f1d9ef3de1275189f1a1cb5b09bdc50da4423e7aad4e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 31c | 40,058$12,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,417.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 35c | 30,126$10,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,542.96 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 23,032$16,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 5c | 19,575$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 13,578$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.08 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 79c | 13,498$10,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.4 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 79c | 8,102$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.53 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…1d3bbacked Yes | 73c | 6,938$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 32c | 6,369$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 79c | 5,033$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.86 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 4,851$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 30c | 4,397$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes | 69c | 3,969$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 28c | 3,592$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 73c | 3,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 23c | 3,412$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.75 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 31c | 3,234$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.46 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 69c | 3,123$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.87 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 5c | 3,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…362ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,613$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 72c | 2,184$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.24 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 70c | 2,152$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.43 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,120$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 72c | 2,096$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed No | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 33c | 1,709$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.71 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 1,547$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.03 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 35c | 1,520$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 68c | 1,407$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.91 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 71c | 1,349$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 69c | 1,314$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.43 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 1,309$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.65 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 9c | 1,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 31c | 999.55$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 65c | 899.92$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.97 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 884$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 79c | 846$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 30c | 777$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed No | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes | 70c | 601.73$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 5c | 533.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 71c | 475.14$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 11c | 459.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…4ec2backed Yes | 71c | 456.52$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 65c | 441$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 71c | 287.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 69c | 279.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 34c | 278$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 72c | 258.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 70c | 245.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed No | 37c | 235.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 232.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed Yes | 64c | 217.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 72c | 214.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 72c | 211.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 199$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 192.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…f0b0backed No | 31c | 187.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 14c | 185.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 36c | 179.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 71c | 177$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…bb38backed Yes | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 17c | 166.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 33c | 165.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed No | 16c | 157.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…3864backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…0464backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 64c | 149.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 64c | 147$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 144.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Israel vs. Moldova end in a draw?No won
- Will Moldova win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.