TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcbb…fd36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$21.53
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.33
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+165.5%+$24.82
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+107.2%+$32.16
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.5%+$23.12
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$11.11
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$23.83
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+607.4%+$485.95
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+507.8%+$507.77
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$68.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$335.1
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$625
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$141.08
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+442.3%+$1,382.19
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$273.21
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.8%+$7.46
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+90.6%+$22.64
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$108.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+45.3%+$54.41
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$68.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$25.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+74.6%+$63.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.63
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.1%+$36.52
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.57
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$42.63
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+89.2%+$135.69
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.64
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+67%+$134
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.6%+$77.53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.6%+$105.18
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+43.6%+$13.08
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.1%+$42.04
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.9%+$219.37
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61%+$30.49
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+45.9%+$11.48
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.8%+$31.9
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+80%+$317.27
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 times by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.87
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+27%+$65.92
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$138.14
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+149.3%+$236.53
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.63
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$295.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$167.62
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+54.4%+$16.33
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+164%+$24.61
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+67.1%+$33.53
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+114.3%+$18.56
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-15.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$203.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$254.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.96
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.2%+$61.96
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$114.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$31.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$45.17
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31%+$14.56
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+48.2%+$19.26
Paris Basketball vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39.6%+$5.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Independiente vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.