Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb0faa41587e54306bc9c9798e593832d727ba3350ec34072f831653e42aeb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 71c | 96,799$68,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,094.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 26c | 69,444$17,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,904.32 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 22,789$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 15,254$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.78 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 29c | 14,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 75c | 13,488$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 5c | 12,147$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 29c | 8,500$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 75c | 8,328$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 5,899$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.34 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 29c | 5,258$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.82 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 26c | 5,185$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.09 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 71c | 4,563$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.26 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,500$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.82 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 14c | 3,338$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.75 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 29c | 3,103$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…1f22backed Yes | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 2,050$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.33 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,842$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 71c | 1,511$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.11 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,498$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.6 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 30c | 1,348$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 16c | 1,281$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed No | 28c | 1,222$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 71c | 1,007$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 992.81$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 28c | 893.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 841.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 28c | 799.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 25c | 787.09$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 29c | 763.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 73c | 688.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 79c | 683.44$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 29c | 680$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 593.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 534$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 29c | 516.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 70c | 500.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 26c | 479.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 28c | 475.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…2158backed Yes | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 72c | 461.11$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 412.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 73c | 408.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 29c | 407.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 28c | 399.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 28c | 388.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 72c | 361.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 28c | 353.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…e2aebacked Yes | 73c | 331.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 71c | 279.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…8864backed Yes | 71c | 275.07$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…bcf4backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x162a…0a53backed Yes | 73c | 273.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2c…7845backed Yes | 75c | 267.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…68aabacked Yes | 75c | 266.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 29c | 225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 71c | 215$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9341…0fa0backed Yes | 73c | 213.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 71c | 204.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 72c | 199.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 26c | 198.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 74c | 188.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed No | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 158.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Yes | 72c | 157.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 71c | 154.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 72c | 141.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 15c | 139.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.