TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8637…9657

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$186.09
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$70.62
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.86
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$305.8
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$70.62
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$270.91
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.43
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$138.27
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.94
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.39
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$206.12
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.52
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.55
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$62.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$230.88
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$250.47
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$250.29
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$250.23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+150%+$375.59
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$97.16
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$66.57
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$123.07
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250.23
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$196.68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$102.37
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$128.86
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$331.74
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.72
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$83.46
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$83.92
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$83.29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$1,065.96
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$104.37
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$97.44
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.16
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$70.62
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+65%+$163.13
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$134.75
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+41.9%+$209.49
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+25%+$62.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250.45
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$250.07
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+100.9%+$252.16
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$249.44
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.6
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$107.4
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.11
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$70.62
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$70.62
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.33
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.44
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.4
Will Trump say "Mineral" or "Earth" 2+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.01
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.08
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.17
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$74.75
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.2
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$78.96
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.6
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$196.68
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.52
Will Todd Blanche be Trump's Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+36.6%+$91.66
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+37%+$92.61
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+36.3%+$181.58
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.71
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$140.76
Will Trump say "Illegal" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$41.48
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.32
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$146.89
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$281.93
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$305.8
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$173.84
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.2
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$134.75
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$146.89
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$250.12
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$391.62
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$117.76
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$250.19
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$123.09
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$250.32
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+37%+$92.61
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$107.1
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$66.57
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$250.11
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$250.27
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62.85
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$196.68
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$112.53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$250.25
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250.27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250.04
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+69.1%+$173.05
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.78
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$128.85
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$940.89
Will Jerome Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$121.79
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$74.75
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$78.96
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$134.75
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+244.8%+$306.72
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+96.1%+$240.59
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54.87
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$112.52
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$106.72
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.24
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.53
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$76.26
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250.59
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$250.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$66.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.95
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$70.62
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$102.37
Ningbo Open: Lin Zhu vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.17
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+175.5%+$877.83
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$102.37
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.32
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$161.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.46
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.56
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.12
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$240.59
Will FC Porto vs. Al Ahly end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.47
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+96.1%+$240.59
Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+55.6%+$142.86
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$249.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Dern vs. Ribasbacked Ribas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$250.23
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+44.9%+$112.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125.17
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+118%+$295.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$250.04
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+26.6%+$66.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.72
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+118.4%+$327.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.2%+$140.68
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+63.9%+$159.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyomingbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$134.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$112.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+37%+$91.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Valkyries make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$78.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+29.9%+$74.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.4%+$73.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$250.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.