Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46babfa88d908470195f5496402e443be389d036be99373acd3ea3d708187c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,547$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…a496backed Yes | 63c | 1,113$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 20c | 624.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 33c | 564.31$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.45 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 23c | 559.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.21 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 38c | 510.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 62c | 505.83$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.63 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 79c | 444$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 18c | 421.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.5 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 74c | 349.62$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…18c3backed Yes | 80c | 339.24$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 53c | 308.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…ff10backed No | 30c | 300.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 6c | 250.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 25c | 240$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 25c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 33c | 189.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 13c | 189.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 20c | 183.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed No | 29c | 182.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked No | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…c7bebacked No | 58c | 171.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 78c | 165.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…8664backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8a…fd8dbacked No | 23c | 161$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 71c | 148.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0bc3backed No | 62c | 147$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 77c | 130.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.44per pick | 51cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x303c…4487backed No | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…13f7backed No | 17c | 119.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +199.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 70c | 118.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 77c | 118.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…2cfabacked Yes | 55c | 107$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…bd1dbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.59per pick | 21cpaid | +302.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 39c | 102.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…fb05backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 71c | 99.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 88.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed No | 34c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 28c | 84.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…fe51backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…bd6fbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +225%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4b…07cbbacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +187.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 30c | 71.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…5351backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…1cf0backed Yes | 34c | 58.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 63c | 58.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 74c | 55.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7588backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 20c | 53.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 53.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 64c | 50.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…23d8backed Yes | 80c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 57c | 40.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8603…0bbabacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 28c | 36.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 52c | 33.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 76c | 33.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…76cabacked Yes | 75c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9d20backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…ca9bbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c3…6d25backed Yes | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 54c | 25.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…2c63backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…b6dcbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…4fdfbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 80c | 16.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…53cdbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.