TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0060…4cc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105.2
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,549.13
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$534.03
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$171
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54.79
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.1%+$114.53
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+312.4%+$236.42
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.7%+$141.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-76.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.33
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.9%+$1,751.04
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$217.49
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.27
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$115.29
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18.68
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.83
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.2%+$115.2
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+124.2%+$62.09
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+119.5%+$119.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+70.9%+$107.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,814Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.6%+$773.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daegu FC win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.