AI · resolved market
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1d7dabe31625ba3af02d917a498e7be20416a3834ba7f7d319dd2d8ddc2724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa973…f0f6backed No | 79c | 36,901$29,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,838.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 8,843$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.93 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…bca8backed Yes | 4c | 6,806$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 3c | 5,929$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 31c | 4,945$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.35 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 17c | 4,279$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 11c | 3,272$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +8.3wins | +0.38per pick | 17cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 45c | 2,062$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 11c | 1,970$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,183$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,151$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked Yes | 4c | 977.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 48c | 858.85$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.79 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 34c | 800$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 18c | 779.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 764$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4f2cbacked No | 64c | 699.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…83b2backed Yes | 40c | 699.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…fe21backed No | 60c | 699.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…26adbacked No | 60c | 699.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…a168backed Yes | 40c | 699.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6b…29efbacked No | 60c | 699.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…b02ebacked Yes | 40c | 699.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…65fcbacked Yes | 40c | 699.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…7fd2backed No | 60c | 699.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…4e5dbacked Yes | 40c | 699.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…5877backed No | 60c | 699.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Yes | 18c | 694.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 36c | 694$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Yes | 73c | 682.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 16c | 653$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…e207backed Yes | 45c | 641.56$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…39ecbacked No | 14c | 614.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 26c | 600$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 37c | 581.47$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 66c | 570.31$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…46e7backed No | 56c | 564.47$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 31c | 559.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…e2e0backed Yes | 38c | 550$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 38c | 520.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…3e4dbacked No | 60c | 514.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…646bbacked Yes | 40c | 514.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…0ce6backed Yes | 40c | 514.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…3dc6backed No | 60c | 514.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…abf6backed No | 60c | 514.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…6accbacked No | 60c | 514.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…aa5bbacked Yes | 40c | 514.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…e297backed Yes | 40c | 514.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…9085backed Yes | 40c | 514.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…aa8ebacked No | 60c | 514.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 27c | 478.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…2287backed Yes | 9c | 473.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 29c | 464.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…36a7backed Yes | 40c | 458.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…d9e4backed Yes | 40c | 458.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…60edbacked No | 60c | 458.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…625ebacked No | 60c | 458.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…d682backed Yes | 40c | 458.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…923abacked Yes | 40c | 458.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6a9bbacked No | 60c | 458.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…16a9backed Yes | 40c | 458.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…6849backed No | 60c | 458.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…1b59backed No | 60c | 458.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…5d11backed Yes | 40c | 454.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529b…d6dfbacked No | 60c | 454.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…128bbacked Yes | 40c | 454.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…0e6abacked No | 60c | 454.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…0621backed No | 60c | 454.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…2096backed No | 60c | 454.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…2d05backed No | 60c | 454.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…e66bbacked Yes | 40c | 454.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…4b66backed Yes | 40c | 454.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…ed19backed Yes | 40c | 454.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…b149backed Yes | 4c | 429.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c9…1e7dbacked Yes | 40c | 429.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…9567backed No | 60c | 429.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…6988backed Yes | 40c | 429.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…a62bbacked Yes | 40c | 429.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…4e01backed Yes | 40c | 429.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…90ffbacked No | 60c | 429.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…5802backed Yes | 40c | 429.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…d682backed No | 60c | 429.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…3b39backed No | 60c | 429.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…30dfbacked No | 60c | 429.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 45c | 424.35$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…7242backed Yes | 41c | 422.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9bd8backed Yes | 41c | 422.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…fe70backed No | 59c | 422.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…6e92backed Yes | 41c | 422.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754e…3209backed No | 59c | 422.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…da43backed No | 59c | 422.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…a522backed No | 59c | 422.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…ab56backed Yes | 41c | 422.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…2d7fbacked No | 59c | 422.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.