TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a7a…df1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,861
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3588.7%31 W · 327 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+99.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 358 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.12
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.48
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.62
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.97
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.06
Showing 25 of 358 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT21713.4%29 W · 188 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Did a valve or plumbing failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.93
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.29
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+7,400%+$740
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$210.9
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.54
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT17921.2%38 W · 141 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.18
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+2,826.9%+$681.8
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$126.86
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.88
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+415.8%+$119.88
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.11
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,098.3%+$1,384.4
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.8
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT15217.8%27 W · 125 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.91
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$480
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$480
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.94
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$227.5
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13216.7%22 W · 110 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.47
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+4,587.5%+$734
Major US official out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+900%+$135.17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.56
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
SAVE America Act becomes law by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.15
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.64
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+260.5%+$553.5
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.47
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+1,370.6%+$1,165
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Will VJ Edgecombe win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Team Vince win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chris Paul not sign with or be traded to a new team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$650
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$580
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$620
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+150%+$750
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$737.5
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$100.32
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$512.5
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$438.32
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$462.5
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,487.5
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$762.5
Spread: Nets (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$487.5
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT738.2%6 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.3
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.95
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+1,879.6%+$541.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.46
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.71
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will $MARU reach $600M in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Will XRP reach $2.40 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will WLD hit $1.3 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.77
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$128.86
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$351.21
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$582.29
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6030%18 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs in jail by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,076.5%+$457.5
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+900%+$103.53
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$57.5
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Belichick out by end of 2025 college football season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$419.99
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdownsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Packers (-7.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Spread: LAR (-8.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$107.5
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+417.2%+$363
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$79.99
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT537.5%4 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid+39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Doctor Banner" be said during the next Spider-Man trailer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.86
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Mom" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Adolescence: The Making of Adolescence win Best Short-Form Program at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.97
Will Formula 1: Drive to Survive win Best Sports Program at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Sesame Street win Best Children's Program at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.38
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.04
Will Kim Go-eun make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.17
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5030%15 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.87
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+1,718.2%+$236.25
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5016%8 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.64
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.77
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.77
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$900
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.93
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.84
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.9%+$725
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$62.5
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST4845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+129.2%+$225.49
Lane Kiffin out as Ole Miss head coach by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$86
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$144
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37
O/U 62.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+197%+$198.99
San Jose State vs. San Diego Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Spread: Arizona State (-7.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$165
Spread: BYU (-2.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$147
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-80.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Trove launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.67
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.02
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+1,183.2%+$1,010.49
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will Andrew Clyde be the Republican nominee for GA-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will Scott Colom be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Mississippi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Michael Whatley be the Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.03
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$225.37
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the New York City Mayor election have the largest Democratic margin of victory?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$280
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.83
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 21–24%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.76
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.49
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$118
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Blackhawks vs. Ducksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$130
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$151.92
Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$47.06
Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$163
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Avalanche vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$51.9
Kraken vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Hurricanes vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+710.4%+$1,493.01
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$175
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Addison Rae perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
Will "Golden - HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI" win Best Song Written For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.91
Will The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
D4vd arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70.85
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+566.7%+$212.5
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+96.8%+$13.17
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$13.68
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.21
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.32
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will John Ratcliffe visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$42.5
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74.54
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.09
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.25
Venezuela Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.67
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+4,900%+$490
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,603.1%+$269.95
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$115
TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.09
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.49
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$637.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.21
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ivory Coast finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$329.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-89.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.61
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Megaquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.71
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.66
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31%+$10.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$100
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.7
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+76.2%+$8.38
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.7%+$34.2
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$24.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.72
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$81.26
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
US Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$42.6
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$21.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+334.8%+$192.5
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$174
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$134
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$94
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick2cpaid+548.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+144.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$112.97
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+389.8%+$1,080.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+244.8%+$177.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+216.1%+$34.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.