Music · resolved market
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf66ffc552a145bb25b7745b513d3f11a43646ae22868338b36ba6eb6c7909eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 78c | 4,947$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,910$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 11c | 3,368$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 2,853$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.78 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 73c | 2,220$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.12 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…9be1backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 30c | 1,953$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…10cdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,546$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 64c | 1,498$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…d348backed Yes | 31c | 1,398$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 37c | 1,386$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…c0e9backed Yes | 28c | 1,269$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 1,244$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…3365backed Yes | 22c | 957.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…dbb1backed Yes | 14c | 952.92$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…c763backed Yes | 5c | 885.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 45c | 840$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 53c | 832$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked No | 78c | 829.43$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 47c | 818$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…8636backed Yes | 10c | 814.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…76f8backed Yes | 24c | 760.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 63c | 662$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 39c | 580$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +340.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 53c | 531.36$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…d1a8backed Yes | 63c | 525.54$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 21c | 525.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 42c | 461$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 58c | 461$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 30c | 443.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…9ccbbacked Yes | 49c | 407.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 407.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 43c | 385.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.39per pick | 40cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 74c | 375.1$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Yes | 63c | 364$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 361.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 63c | 360$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 329.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 327.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…49c9backed No | 48c | 311.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…841dbacked Yes | 9c | 297.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…59b0backed Yes | 57c | 283$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +190.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 56c | 267.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes | 47c | 257$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…5bd3backed No | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 76c | 249.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 53c | 243$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…2ca0backed Yes | 24c | 228.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…0095backed Yes | 22c | 223.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 33c | 206.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 8c | 195$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…9bb9backed No | 43c | 192$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…2ac9backed No | 28c | 187.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…0f20backed Yes | 9c | 165.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 60c | 165.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked No | 77c | 157.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 76c | 150.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 27c | 150.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 19c | 133.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 127.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 49c | 112.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 22c | 112.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 23c | 106.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…1371backed Yes | 19c | 104.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…e94abacked Yes | 15c | 102.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…0321backed No | 51c | 97.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +1,038.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 62c | 96.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…6848backed Yes | 46c | 87.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 38c | 85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 58c | 83.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 53c | 76.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 32c | 74.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…99e6backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…763dbacked No | 66c | 63.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 63.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 80c | 62.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…47a2backed Yes | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…fa5dbacked No | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…6486backed Yes | 24c | 50.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 20c | 49.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae62…54cebacked Yes | 30c | 49.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 68c | 49.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…d130backed No | 38c | 47.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 49c | 47.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 53c | 46.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 77c | 43.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 54c | 43.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?this page
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.