TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x356b…1c3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
799
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT59125.9%153 W · 438 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 591 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+228.7%+$32.74
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$31.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$40.36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+311.7%+$64.28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$30.9
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+632.1%+$78.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+536.3%+$62.13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$44.39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185%+$30.51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Showing 25 of 591 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT6516.9%11 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+722.6%+$125.33
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+384.3%+$40.47
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.15
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.39
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$20.17
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.72
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
England vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+222%+$24.13
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+157.3%+$42.86
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+242.5%+$24.78
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+518.2%+$96.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+468.7%+$59.34
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+735.6%+$78.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$32.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+439.8%+$55.68
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+206.8%+$21.81
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+432.8%+$48.74
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.03
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+255.8%+$28.93
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.29
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$23.7
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+273%+$35.48
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+273.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+646.4%+$65.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+201.5%+$34.85
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-6.5)backed Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$22.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.