TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Grizzlies, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$683,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,931 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23b6…3eeebacked Nets53c93,545$49,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,936.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies44c35,800$15,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,751.9829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets56c27,235$15,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,983.581,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets55c19,509$10,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,779.11,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies45c18,315$8,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,241.7530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets53c15,848$8,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80a…7f7ebacked Grizzlies47c11,766$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,530.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…8f88backed Grizzlies47c11,743$5,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,519.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Grizzlies47c11,564$5,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,43834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc607…7a9cbacked Grizzlies47c11,289$5,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,305.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6fa…ba6bbacked Grizzlies47c11,268$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,295.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Grizzlies41c11,180$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.6926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2f…e627backed Grizzlies47c10,798$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…0e29backed Grizzlies47c10,187$4,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,787.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x147a…2bfdbacked Grizzlies47c10,081$4,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,738.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8600…feedbacked Grizzlies47c9,996$4,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,697.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf596…7c51backed Grizzlies47c9,937$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a0…eff5backed Grizzlies47c9,879$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,643.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b5…aa09backed Grizzlies47c9,868$4,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,637.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff4…ee48backed Grizzlies47c9,753$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,583.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeccb…bec2backed Grizzlies47c9,683$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies41c9,678$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.072,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d6…b2a2backed Grizzlies47c9,587$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa7…81a3backed Grizzlies47c9,577$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5860…9fb3backed Grizzlies47c9,473$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ac…e7ecbacked Grizzlies47c9,449$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f0…c552backed Nets53c9,361$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+69.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc03e…324cbacked Grizzlies47c9,355$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab7…8954backed Grizzlies47c9,338$4,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.86560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e41…bb35backed Grizzlies47c9,293$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.71650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb948…15b9backed Nets53c9,268$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Grizzlies47c9,149$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29c…5ba0backed Nets53c9,104$4,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,278.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb7…28c1backed Nets53c9,091$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a1…cd50backed Grizzlies47c9,040$4,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x572c…a672backed Grizzlies47c9,036$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba98…80b0backed Nets53c8,973$4,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb637…5f0ebacked Grizzlies47c8,917$4,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,190.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1e…22bdbacked Grizzlies47c8,880$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde23…543ebacked Grizzlies47c8,849$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…1ddbbacked Nets53c8,845$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85f3…df1cbacked Nets53c8,841$4,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbcb…99acbacked Grizzlies47c8,836$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,152.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdd…3ae7backed Grizzlies47c8,800$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,136366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42a…2e15backed Nets53c8,731$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,103.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe533…510dbacked Nets53c8,640$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x73ca…8ac1backed Grizzlies47c8,630$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.112055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece6…594dbacked Grizzlies47c8,615$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c49…7f19backed Nets53c8,568$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d3…be51backed Grizzlies46c8,520$3,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc48c…d633backed Grizzlies46c8,508$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42f…f4cdbacked Grizzlies47c8,387$3,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf0…bd6dbacked Nets53c8,221$4,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.874100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd953…d186backed Nets53c8,198$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…d898backed Nets53c8,070$4,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29b…c1cebacked Grizzlies47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…bbc9backed Nets53c7,977$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc460…f994backed Nets53c7,970$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3137…b3a2backed Nets53c7,794$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd1…1e78backed Nets53c7,772$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65f…b4ffbacked Nets53c7,751$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…2e6cbacked Nets53c7,717$4,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ead…6370backed Grizzlies47c7,677$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c3…f831backed Nets53c7,609$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6154…ec8abacked Grizzlies47c7,609$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…2ff7backed Grizzlies47c7,589$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,566.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…e66dbacked Nets53c7,349$3,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,454.031050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfad3…d5aabacked Nets53c7,334$3,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f49…c7eebacked Nets53c7,272$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.846100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb26…88e6backed Grizzlies46c7,106$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.75850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…04b8backed Nets54c7,097$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a6…a038backed Nets53c6,871$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.375100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bde…75debacked Nets53c6,847$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa707…7febbacked Grizzlies47c6,835$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3936…4e85backed Nets54c6,823$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x282e…0799backed Nets54c6,807$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a7…dd0bbacked Nets54c6,731$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3179…ef6dbacked Grizzlies47c6,658$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557a…16f6backed Nets53c6,647$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5753…5c69backed Nets53c6,596$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafff…49c8backed Grizzlies46c6,417$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5e…0b68backed Grizzlies46c6,332$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d2…c3acbacked Nets53c6,064$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3977…ca3bbacked Grizzlies46c5,669$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e3…7211backed Nets54c5,576$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac9…8920backed Grizzlies47c5,545$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ec…e045backed Nets54c5,355$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ad…8196backed Nets54c5,306$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.611060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb0…d997backed Grizzlies47c5,260$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…ad75backed Nets53c5,216$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.527100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ba6…4640backed Grizzlies46c5,107$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x722e…2ccfbacked Grizzlies47c5,081$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…313ebacked Nets54c5,028$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…e48abacked Nets53c4,678$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Nets54c4,653$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.838361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…8e67backed Grizzlies47c4,640$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5204…8fdbbacked Grizzlies47c4,485$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…06a8backed Nets53c4,413$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.111060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x019a…90debacked Grizzlies46c4,278$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856b…eeb9backed Grizzlies47c4,188$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.