TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Grizzlies, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,317 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets49c49,269$24,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,223.172,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets52c23,979$12,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,511.551,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09c…4a3bbacked Nets50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec2…0766backed Grizzlies50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Nets55c18,182$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies48c12,773$6,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,13148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Grizzlies47c12,233$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.5831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Grizzlies45c12,137$5,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,453.5726544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee3c…59d8backed Grizzlies51c8,657$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde9…f6e1backed Grizzlies51c8,657$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…b48ebacked Grizzlies51c8,627$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd5…f2eabacked Grizzlies51c7,847$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0021060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc1…d8dfbacked Grizzlies50c6,340$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba32…b4ecbacked Grizzlies50c6,124$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef8…f0c0backed Grizzlies50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x856b…eeb9backed Grizzlies50c5,905$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…444fbacked Grizzlies51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8c…cbf3backed Grizzlies52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies45c5,722$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.0966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9477…5cf3backed Grizzlies50c5,472$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3181…0638backed Grizzlies50c4,992$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Nets49c4,904$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.8858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f5…8002backed Grizzlies50c4,478$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…06a8backed Grizzlies50c4,318$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1591060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac9…8920backed Grizzlies50c4,094$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6738…e731backed Grizzlies50c4,090$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Grizzlies51c3,841$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.4880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7c…9830backed Grizzlies50c3,805$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd855…7b98backed Grizzlies50c3,704$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Grizzlies52c3,627$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.845046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa7e…a9b4backed Grizzlies50c3,546$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ad…8196backed Grizzlies50c3,455$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…90debacked Grizzlies50c3,283$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c3…ab1fbacked Grizzlies50c2,968$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Grizzlies50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets50c2,612$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies52c2,593$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.4958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2484…68e2backed Grizzlies50c2,565$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies51c2,524$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies48c2,479$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets51c2,378$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets51c2,200$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a7…dd0bbacked Grizzlies50c2,177$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…ea06backed Grizzlies50c1,970$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies51c1,965$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Grizzlies48c1,897$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.5625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets59c1,857$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9223…c94dbacked Grizzlies50c1,820$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c7…3bb9backed Nets50c1,790$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa504…80e7backed Nets50c1,768$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies44c1,760$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5695…9808backed Nets50c1,746$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61c1…9fa7backed Nets50c1,736$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b77…72bcbacked Nets50c1,717$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a0…21cdbacked Nets50c1,707$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c7…e0c7backed Nets50c1,687$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7592…ce73backed Nets50c1,681$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27de…8296backed Nets50c1,675$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…9b8dbacked Nets50c1,628$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f91…e583backed Nets50c1,625$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…c851backed Nets50c1,625$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb098…e974backed Nets50c1,599$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5e…0b68backed Grizzlies50c1,570$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2257…7ff2backed Nets50c1,556$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda0…12e2backed Nets50c1,554$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d7…b77abacked Nets50c1,541$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b03…9b23backed Nets50c1,533$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8993…d970backed Nets50c1,510$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…519bbacked Nets50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cce…af6dbacked Nets50c1,468$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…6effbacked Nets50c1,457$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14d6…7708backed Nets50c1,439$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe068…ad01backed Nets50c1,420$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Grizzlies51c1,416$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72217953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf86…d85bbacked Nets50c1,407$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc346…7a96backed Nets50c1,338$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a51…af8dbacked Nets50c1,333$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8392…470abacked Nets50c1,329$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3977…ca3bbacked Grizzlies50c1,321$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42f3…1898backed Nets50c1,302$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1eb…e8c5backed Nets50c1,269$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67a0…2a37backed Nets50c1,266$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…b7cdbacked Nets50c1,262$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f20…0aa3backed Nets50c1,226$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…d080backed Nets50c1,201$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dc2…e4c3backed Nets50c1,193$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Nets54c1,150$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52922447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f87…475fbacked Nets50c1,145$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x536d…a04fbacked Grizzlies50c1,134$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e3…8ac3backed Nets50c1,131$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb92…7bf6backed Nets50c1,129$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd9…2d5dbacked Nets50c1,125$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…f371backed Nets50c1,117$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets52c1,104$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad9…91d5backed Nets50c1,102$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff8…e07ebacked Nets50c1,084$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…3d4dbacked Nets50c1,066$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Grizzlies45c1,034$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.375152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f91…afbabacked Nets50c1,033$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…4e85backed Grizzlies50c1,030$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.