TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,194 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66cc…7135backed Under52c19,087$9,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,925.2221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c14,124$6,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c12,351$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under54c10,455$5,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,615.4843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c3,528$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.222,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over45c3,228$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.522,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c3,100$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c2,990$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c2,318$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over48c2,085$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.211443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under56c2,048$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.62,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,973$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over64c1,848$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.133,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under52c1,679$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.8687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.032,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Over48c1,050$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,045$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over48c1,025$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under29c885.46$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9925840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c863.9$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over48c837.5$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over47c799.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.998353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8c…cbf3backed Under52c798.47$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c794$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3972,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under10c666.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c589.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c500$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over44c478$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.681,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c470.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over48c422.92$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9232450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under34c375.49$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over49c358.15$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6517960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over48c351.86$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9754549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under30c289.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.111,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over63c257.21$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c229.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c221.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over68c221.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.531,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Over48c209.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.186347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over72c178$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.71118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c151.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.973,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under12c132.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.222453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3c…78b2backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f5…59c3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72d…449dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb59a…cc2ebacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under18c99.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4439943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c98.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.241,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over48c89.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5436045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Under51c86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.865345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Over49c86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.867960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over69c74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2531345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c67.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c64.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over46c58.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.729247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Over48c56.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.259037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over46c54.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.529844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.356665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x823c…0425backed Over63c52.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.571637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over44c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c49.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9816141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Over49c49.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.169051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c48.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over44c44.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7720350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over49c42.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6120949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over66c37.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x668a…04d1backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over72c35.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under41c34.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.219051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c32.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf525…559dbacked Over48c31.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.523855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bd…ce39backed Under55c30.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x592e…0906backed Over46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.265160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7819166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e2…cca2backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a50…38a9backed Under53c23.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under55c22.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2715752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6c…13e8backed Under54c21.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.685347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.