TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,483 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under54c8,283$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.7643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43021250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb28…598fbacked Over52c5,900$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32c3…f531backed Under48c5,900$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8321030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c5,466$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Over47c4,321$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.2112950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c3,643$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.021,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under53c3,436$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.2729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c3,008$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c2,091$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.4970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c1,947$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under47c1,781$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83718749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c1,564$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c1,447$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.083,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.812,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,002$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c914.89$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over52c776.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5811156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c768.64$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.963,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over50c699.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.7626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under54c600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Over48c515.29$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c512$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over46c497.88$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c456.32$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Under50c431.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c388.32$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Over53c363.62$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.724557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c329.24$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under11c325.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c236.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over46c235.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c224$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c172.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over47c141.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2427251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.254540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6424…3045backed Over48c103.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over46c101.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under53c99.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.542142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over52c94.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1617960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c82.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.141,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6355444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Under51c72.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.237443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Over49c72.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.228251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under49c69.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0980653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c68.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.523,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over49c66.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.165558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under27c65.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over47c63.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8520350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under53c62.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1214046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c60.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under51c58.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9924150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over51c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0674…d6c1backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514236.6%52 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5122044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over57c49.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0812857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Over53c47.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.563141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over73c45.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c38.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8554854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0037…5c64backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over59c27.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Over48c27.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.076445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4832947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c25.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c25.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Over50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01e2…cca2backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under48c20.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0725651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.753339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.