TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfffb…5f95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
440
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT24150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 241 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$7.19
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$22.1
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.45
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$10.43
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$10.35
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$19.79
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$23.29
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+76%+$22.43
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.93
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.76
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$37.05
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Showing 25 of 241 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10063%63 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$68.4
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tausonbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Julie Struplovabacked Alice Rame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$42.59
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$56.95
Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lanserebacked Sofya Lansere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$36.7
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.14
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$14.86
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$17.36
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$23.29
Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$13.94
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$9.94
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echarguibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$16.57
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Noir Verse (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group Abacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked TEAM XDM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$216.64
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+146.9%+$35.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+52.3%+$61.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs FUT Academy (BO3)backed Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy (BO3)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed ex-GANK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.45
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3)backed FengDa Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Preasy Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+30.9%+$30.7
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+66.1%+$95.5
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+62.6%+$26.95
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.8%+$6.25
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96.59
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$83.2
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs AVULUS (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.5%+$13.4
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$62.8
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+60%+$15
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Most Wanted (BO3)backed Most Wanted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Dota 2: Most Wanted vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$111
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.08
LoL: Axolotl vs Deacoy (BO1)backed Axolotl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: HMBLE vs P11 Esports (BO1)backed P11 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$109.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+83.8%+$22.8
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+46%+$27.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-5.0wins-0.36per pick57cpaid-63.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$13.11
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$57.04
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.97
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$10.28
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+101%+$40.05
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-6.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
UAB Blazers vs. Memphis Tigersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Spread: BYU Cougars (-3.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-74.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.6%+$12
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+55.7%+$39.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.