CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03eed4a3c2b5e5588b6aaaacc81a355dbea07e6f94618b9d33e3abbf6ff5e236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 3c | 13,103$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 2,041$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.27 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed ex-RUSTEC | 31c | 1,326$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.22 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUSTEC | 21c | 1,271$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 948.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 920.12$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 770$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.55 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 745.21$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 737.15$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.15 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 14c | 730.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 682$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUSTEC | 15c | 643.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 540.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 530.48$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 450.18$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 17c | 446.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC | 32c | 445.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 18c | 433.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 417$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 266.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 253.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 233.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…bdf6backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 197$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…14a9backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 190$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 135.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…77e9backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 126.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed ex-RUSTEC | 24c | 106.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 103.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUSTEC | 18c | 101.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 80.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 68.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 57.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…c93dbacked ex-RUBY | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked ex-RUSTEC | 37c | 42.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 30.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 28.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.