TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08e0…f4a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
881
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT83856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 838 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.72
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.06
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.47
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.65
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Spirit Academy (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.64
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Color (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$65.93
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.33
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Drip Too Hard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$35.99
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.81
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19
Showing 25 of 838 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$20.59
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$59.28
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+530.7%+$71.07
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$25.6
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$6.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$22.95
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78%+$22.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.