Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea72a2719033a4e83d40f4f8c349b8eeb851ad1890ea2c7eaff911fc1c8de249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Virtus.pro, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 139,798$69,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,761.23 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 51c | 93,192$47,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,309.76 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 61,597$27,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,854.98 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…42b8backed MOUZ | 73c | 55,818$40,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,078.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 50c | 40,219$20,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,109.39 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 31,049$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.24 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 14,927$6,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580.92 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 55c | 12,154$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,469.14 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 56c | 8,943$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.84 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 56c | 5,847$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.88 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 5,837$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.36 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 5,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 65c | 5,328$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.69 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 4,994$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.54 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 4,622$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.15 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 4,492$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.24 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked MOUZ | 66c | 4,472$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.95 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 4,427$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.99 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked MOUZ | 60c | 4,380$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 73c | 4,100$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 64c | 4,082$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.04 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,965$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.85 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 3,931$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 3,759$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 53c | 3,272$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.91 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 3,250$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed MOUZ | 55c | 3,130$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.32 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 3,045$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.39 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 2,974$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.24 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 54c | 2,911$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.1 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,871$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.78 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 2,671$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.24 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 55c | 2,659$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.55 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 57c | 2,644$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,536$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.86 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 2,521$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 2,355$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.32 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,277$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.79 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 2,258$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.49 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 2,097$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 68c | 2,074$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.94 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 2,017$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.37 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro | 7c | 1,871$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,844$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.96 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,764$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.68 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,647$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,634$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.06 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 75c | 1,515$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.66 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 1,502$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,476$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.8 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,357$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.08 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,304$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,294$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.13 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,291$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 77c | 1,273$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,250$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.49 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,217$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…ac20backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,216$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,213$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.25 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,202$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.6 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked MOUZ | 73c | 1,199$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,189$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.01 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.85 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,116$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.94 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,093$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…555dbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,072$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.23 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,034$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.26 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,000$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.33 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 66c | 995.62$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed MOUZ | 55c | 972.89$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.51 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 942$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 933$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.51 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 920.88$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 59c | 918.3$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.97 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 54c | 901.74$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4152…5d75backed MOUZ | 53c | 899.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7bddbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 899.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 843$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.95 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed MOUZ | 58c | 837.76$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.29 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 829.82$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 807.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 798.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed MOUZ | 78c | 783.25$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 55c | 749.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 748.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 58c | 728.75$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.69 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 703.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 677.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 656$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 646.58$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 627.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.