TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a07…923f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
772
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT35164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 351 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.2
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.56
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$165.87
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.11
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.12
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.88
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.75
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$257.93
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$83.25
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$111.51
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312.89
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.31
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$176.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$84.34
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.24
Showing 25 of 351 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT17458%101 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunderbacked Oklahoma City Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celticsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$62.2
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliersbacked Indiana Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$29.18
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked Brooklyn Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.33
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucksbacked Miami Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.93
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.39
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$163.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$62.05
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$244.95
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.2
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.2
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,253.27
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$557.86
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+39%+$244.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,951.61
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$391.32
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$33.39
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT8161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.01
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$168.92
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$72.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$85.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$93.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$62.54
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$135.79
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$83.73
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$83.82
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$48.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.56
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7162%44 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.81
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$18.26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.62
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$594.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$549.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$573.96
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$686.37
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$442.15
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$463.64
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.85
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.31
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.68
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$106.32
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$129.04
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$242.9
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$771.41
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$89.89
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.98
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.79
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$83.78
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$295.28
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.96
Shanxi Loongs vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$130.41
Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$142.52
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$377.86
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$118.38
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.97
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.75
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$38.71
Qingdao Eagles vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$95.08
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.01
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$53.53
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$432.58
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$103.57
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$64.84
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$56.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.7
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.96
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$34.01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$42.87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$47.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$67.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$60.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$29.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$65.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$40.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$18.25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+165%+$154.73
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$47.3
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$32.33
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$11.68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$28.59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$110.82
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firebacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.38
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.71
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+41%+$38.94
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$49.57
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.19
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$23.65
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64.67
Spread: Dallas Wings (-12.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$93.62
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$27.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$37.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.