NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa307aded137a5e0b59d685f02b75b7aac53ddc21ec728c6e4cf9e5b999709635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Magic, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,815,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,818,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,815,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Magic | 22c | 648,264$143,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,267.47 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 78c | 589,525$459,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,695.54 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Magic | 24c | 487,981$117,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,736.14 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Pistons | 78c | 394,720$307,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,838.4 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 23c | 372,979$85,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,801.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Magic | 0c | 277,129$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.2 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 21c | 243,229$52,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,050.26 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 23c | 202,848$46,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,870 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 77c | 194,808$149,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,353.87 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 19c | 179,476$33,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,592.71 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Pistons | 78c | 166,924$130,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,723.22 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Pistons | 78c | 133,218$103,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,307.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 77c | 123,881$95,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,911.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Magic | 22c | 121,249$27,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,162 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 22c | 119,317$25,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,784.24 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…da36backed Magic | 14c | 117,992$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Magic | 23c | 90,992$20,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,935.39 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 22c | 75,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 22c | 67,882$14,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,766.53 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Magic | 23c | 62,667$14,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,413.32 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 78c | 61,258$47,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,488.69 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 79c | 51,994$41,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,918.72 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 74c | 49,279$36,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,667.55 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 77c | 48,126$37,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,042.09 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Magic | 22c | 43,327$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Pistons | 77c | 42,505$32,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,776.09 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Magic | 23c | 42,091$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.51 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 76c | 41,800$31,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 77c | 40,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Pistons | 68c | 39,640$26,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,684.89 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Magic | 23c | 38,438$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,840.77 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Magic | 18c | 37,691$6,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.63 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Magic | 22c | 37,628$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,278.22 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 1c | 37,304$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…ea12backed Magic | 21c | 36,633$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,692.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Magic | 11c | 34,422$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.96 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Magic | 22c | 33,262$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.73 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…3684backed Magic | 2c | 30,138$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons | 78c | 29,984$23,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.59 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Magic | 22c | 29,377$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.87 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Magic | 15c | 29,344$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Magic | 0c | 28,204$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 79c | 27,810$21,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,971.48 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Pistons | 77c | 27,793$21,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,392.36 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 22c | 27,198$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.66 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 78c | 26,456$20,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.57 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Pistons | 77c | 25,850$19,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Magic | 13c | 25,734$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.09 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 20c | 25,196$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.17 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Magic | 23c | 25,187$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.03 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons | 79c | 24,822$19,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.43 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 17c | 24,763$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 78c | 23,743$18,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.32 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 75c | 22,878$17,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 79c | 22,117$17,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.82 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Magic | 22c | 21,614$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.1 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Magic | 2c | 21,406$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.06 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Magic | 1c | 21,359$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Magic | 2c | 21,355$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Magic | 1c | 21,285$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Magic | 23c | 20,984$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons | 69c | 20,426$14,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.93 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 79c | 19,257$15,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.75 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Pistons | 78c | 19,216$14,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.53 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Magic | 22c | 19,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.06 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 22c | 19,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.96 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Pistons | 77c | 18,437$14,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.84 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Pistons | 78c | 17,600$13,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.98 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Pistons | 69c | 17,068$11,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.03 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 1c | 16,874$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Magic | 24c | 14,518$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.43 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Magic | 24c | 14,316$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.84 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 0c | 14,111$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Pistons | 79c | 13,773$10,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.27 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Magic | 22c | 13,721$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.73 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Magic | 23c | 13,200$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Magic | 23c | 13,016$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.72 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Pistons | 74c | 12,966$9,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Magic | 16c | 12,870$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.5 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Pistons | 77c | 12,808$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.79 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Pistons | 78c | 12,651$9,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…9b36backed Magic | 22c | 12,627$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 3c | 12,401$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.8 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Magic | 18c | 11,830$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.42 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…be4ebacked Magic | 17c | 11,103$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Magic | 2c | 11,077$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.81 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…d8e5backed Magic | 1c | 10,922$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Magic | 0c | 10,820$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Pistons | 77c | 10,742$8,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.76 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 32c | 10,462$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.18 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Pistons | 78c | 10,072$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.9 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Magic | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Pistons | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons | 78c | 10,000$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 23c | 9,821$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.75 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 9,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 23c | 9,386$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.71 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…e9abbacked Magic | 23c | 9,237$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 77c | 9,171$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 193.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-25.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.