NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0303447367d44d8cd30dda41ff5dd89a1f635321b5235a27592f66410b239c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 249,999$127,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,499.73 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 49c | 153,122$74,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,207.41 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 86,275$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000.27 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Over | 51c | 43,946$22,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,412.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 39,032$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,100.37 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 36,694$18,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,310.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 27,919$13,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,306.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 49c | 24,777$12,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,636.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 52c | 21,318$11,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,085.28 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Under | 49c | 19,749$9,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,071.91 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 50c | 19,370$9,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,685 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 49c | 18,742$9,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,558.25 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 18,331$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,165.67 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Under | 49c | 16,047$7,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 14,012$6,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,146.37 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Under | 50c | 13,535$6,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.69 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…9e70backed Under | 49c | 10,026$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,113.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Under | 48c | 10,003$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.45 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.94 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…089ebacked Under | 49c | 9,890$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Under | 49c | 9,888$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…78ffbacked Under | 49c | 8,903$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 8,759$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.12 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 8,527$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.65 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…db49backed Under | 49c | 7,900$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 49c | 7,271$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.96 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 7,003$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.74 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 6,761$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.42 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 6,529$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.59 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 50c | 5,944$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.98 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…2f07backed Under | 49c | 5,822$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 50c | 5,770$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.88 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 48c | 5,543$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.57 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 49c | 5,539$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.11 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Over | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.03 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 49c | 4,715$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.81 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…4918backed Under | 49c | 4,155$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 4,085$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.52 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 52c | 3,985$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.26 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 3,885$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 49c | 3,807$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.49 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 49c | 3,779$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.13 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 3,762$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.37 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 49c | 3,238$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.47 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 51c | 2,996$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,991$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.51 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Over | 52c | 2,802$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.8 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 49c | 2,572$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.52 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 2,560$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 49c | 2,357$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.99 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.23 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.5 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Under | 49c | 1,994$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.56 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 49c | 1,969$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,940$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.45 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 49c | 1,908$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.26 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 1,788$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.93 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.76 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 50c | 1,772$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.06 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 52c | 1,757$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.09 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 1,695$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…a355backed Under | 62c | 1,668$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Over | 51c | 1,650$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Under | 48c | 1,555$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.07 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 49c | 1,472$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.85 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 52c | 1,461$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.49 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.28 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 49c | 1,212$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…9e76backed Over | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 1,155$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.58 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 52c | 1,124$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.67 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.72 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Over | 52c | 1,079$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 51c | 1,047$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.83 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 1,003$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 193.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-25.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.