TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e02…b1c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.51
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$485
Will Jordan Ott win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.85
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.76
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+291.4%+$163.35
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,282.29
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$998.75
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$993.01
Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.57
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,071.25
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,214.14
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$917.11
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.05
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.37
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.06
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.24
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,196.38
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.5%+$842.72
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+32.6%+$250.26
Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+400%+$1,600
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$171.42
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$338.59
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$161.99
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$539.3
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$939.99
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$132.65
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.9%+$222.74
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1) - Most Sixes Brisbane Heat Winnerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,027.3
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Tiebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,194.04
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Hobart Hurricanes Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.07
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.52
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.29
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.36
Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.66
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Australia election results in a hung parliament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+84.9%+$612.59
Canada election called by midnight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,115.74
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+100.1%+$243.41
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$170.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs suspended this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.15
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.93
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+123.1%+$1,043.13
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$146.9
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$663
Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$144.09
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$214.13
Scorigami in NFL Week 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$511.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$564.15
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$285.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$463.25
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$430.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$810
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.