TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Will Australia win?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes2c5,997$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.483026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,045$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.543698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes65c5,000$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No36c4,889$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.842623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf7…e497backed Yes64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.994119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes77c2,766$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.362839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No30c2,537$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.5233042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x756e…1540backed Yes4c2,320$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes45c2,267$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes64c2,095$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.17027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…f117backed Yes64c2,030$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x935e…d6e4backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003250%16 W · 16 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes71c1,957$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.318949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…ece6backed Yes64c1,747$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes1c1,546$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.995036%18 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No33c1,513$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.0228749.5%142 W · 145 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes1c1,465$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes43c1,443$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.494835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed No30c1,430$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.815742.7%67 W · 90 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes66c1,411$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.922737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fb…078dbacked Yes64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f0…7e3cbacked No36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes1c1,304$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0415429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3376…3c7fbacked No35c1,195$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes63c1,050$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-78.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc68…adc1backed Yes42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffd4…0f95backed Yes61c999.98$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c27…4d56backed Yes44c999.96$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.982937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No35c927.71$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes52c584.55$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c51…51f4backed Yes76c533.77$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.214731.9%15 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes5c525.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21116.3%7 W · 104 L-18.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes53c472.06$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.04825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0d…6c62backed Yes63c408.53$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.367554.7%41 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c56…daf8backed Yes49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1946643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e40…d1bbbacked Yes64c398.2$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc90…31d8backed Yes6c395.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes51c371.64$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.632356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa88c…1e18backed Yes21c371$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a18…ba41backed Yes64c369.18$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.997553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f4…631dbacked Yes73c363.51$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.582263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No22c358.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.62343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes64c350$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995f…3e56backed Yes78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee8b…1610backed Yes65c261.26$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.163938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…93c7backed Yes66c255.7$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.685942.4%25 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f5…5526backed Yes79c253$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.872458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80c5…168abacked Yes65c232$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No42c221.25$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.341838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…3c59backed Yes49c182.55$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.198740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…78aebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes49c155.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4227054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8439…11c0backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef68…d668backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No32c149.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.925429.6%16 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…a6e2backed Yes65c136$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd992…96c0backed Yes74c127.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed No40c127.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9419862.6%124 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae12…4e5dbacked Yes13c124.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No36c119.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9714129.1%41 W · 100 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes26c118.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.392138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes79c105$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes63c103.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9914853.4%79 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bb…8d2cbacked No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+166.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bd…707abacked Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657152.1%37 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…19c2backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Yes64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f5…5ea3backed Yes63c80.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No37c68.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.975749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7be0…35c3backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257855.1%43 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa3d…aaa3backed No36c59.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x647a…18f5backed Yes19c58.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes64c50.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.228860.2%53 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ca…8561backed Yes63c49.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Yes63c48.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2767931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Yes63c48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd41…2337backed Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010552.4%55 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0704…fbd8backed Yes42c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3657…3b16backed No36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…0140backed Yes64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fc…b536backed Yes71c39.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab21…cd27backed Yes65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254040%16 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked No37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed No39c34.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f50…7077backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064a…5eb9backed No33c30.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99b…d599backed Yes67c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0920251.5%104 W · 98 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28be…3d22backed Yes67c29.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…1ab4backed Yes42c28.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes64c28.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.