TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe99b…d599

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
275
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20251.5%104 W · 98 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 South American Championship: Mexico vs Turks And Caicosbacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Sussex vs Worcestershirebacked Worcestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$77.7
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Middlesexbacked Durham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.18
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$14.56
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Lancashire vs Gloucestershirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$64
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$27.9
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.78
Kuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Kochi Lions vs Palakad Patriotsbacked Palakad Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Kandy Royalsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Ugandabacked Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
T20 European Cup: Romania vs Austriabacked Romania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$94.5
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$48.07
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Dambulla Sixersbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Glamorganbacked Durham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$187.15
Global Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallantsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+217.1%+$52.62
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$87.3
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Colombo Kapsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
T20 European Cup: France vs Austriabacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.61
Global Super League: San Francisco Unicorns vs Desert Vipersbacked Desert Vipers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$51
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.22
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzaniabacked Hong Kong, China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix: Darwin Blanch vs Billy Harrisbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.53
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+59%+$34
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+67.4%+$16.1
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30.4%+$7
BNP Paribas Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.2%+$18
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+46%+$12.6
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.2
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royerbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Dubai Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25.9%+$18.5
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Qatar Open: Zizou Bergs vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.3%+$27.3
Lille: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Qatar Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Colton Smithbacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Qatar Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Billy Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+54.2%+$24.6
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick16cpaid+545.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$84.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+73.6%+$21.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.