Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norrie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f8e673fe06893dbb82b5d3faa786d0618e09b936d0e0e29a53905dc3541884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Jodar, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jodar | 55c | 42,668$23,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,404.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jodar | 64c | 26,066$16,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Norrie | 56c | 20,000$11,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,135.93 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Norrie | 25c | 19,849$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie | 41c | 15,100$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.01 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Norrie | 48c | 13,490$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,532.54 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Norrie | 48c | 13,317$6,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.51 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Norrie | 49c | 13,029$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355.69 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jodar | 50c | 12,446$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,266.09 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Norrie | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.97 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jodar | 50c | 9,767$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Norrie | 48c | 9,184$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.55 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Norrie | 56c | 9,095$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.96 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Jodar | 60c | 8,311$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.28 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jodar | 69c | 7,883$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Jodar | 42c | 7,686$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.16 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Jodar | 41c | 7,272$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.61 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie | 35c | 6,616$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Norrie | 56c | 6,362$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.87 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Jodar | 43c | 5,980$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.39 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Norrie | 49c | 5,793$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.99 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jodar | 40c | 5,769$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.6 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jodar | 57c | 5,676$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.38 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Norrie | 61c | 4,999$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Jodar | 44c | 4,682$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.86 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Jodar | 40c | 4,250$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Norrie | 45c | 3,958$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jodar | 42c | 3,769$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.5 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jodar | 45c | 3,642$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Jodar | 40c | 3,440$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Norrie | 9c | 3,185$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.59 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…776fbacked Jodar | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Norrie | 34c | 2,969$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.44 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Norrie | 36c | 2,795$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…6defbacked Norrie | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…55bbbacked Norrie | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Jodar | 42c | 2,313$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.23 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Jodar | 46c | 2,295$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.04 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jodar | 43c | 2,216$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.98 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Jodar | 43c | 2,145$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.24 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jodar | 43c | 2,131$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.67 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…ea14backed Jodar | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Jodar | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked Norrie | 54c | 1,919$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.55 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Jodar | 47c | 1,900$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Norrie | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Norrie | 61c | 1,788$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…2f52backed Jodar | 47c | 1,780$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Jodar | 45c | 1,775$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.65 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Norrie | 46c | 1,761$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.27 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Norrie | 55c | 1,753$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.38 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Norrie | 23c | 1,726$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Jodar | 44c | 1,696$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.3 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Norrie | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Norrie | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Norrie | 60c | 1,590$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Norrie | 51c | 1,570$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.84 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Norrie | 56c | 1,555$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.8 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Norrie | 57c | 1,484$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.97 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Norrie | 64c | 1,413$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jodar | 45c | 1,409$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.81 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Jodar | 46c | 1,360$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.14 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jodar | 45c | 1,315$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.94 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jodar | 40c | 1,298$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Norrie | 58c | 1,240$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Norrie | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Norrie | 57c | 1,168$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.36 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Jodar | 44c | 1,156$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Norrie | 54c | 1,037$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a39…9e71backed Norrie | 56c | 1,014$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Norrie | 67c | 1,007$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Norrie | 60c | 1,001$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.57 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…0312backed Norrie | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…1dd3backed Norrie | 54c | 1,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Jodar | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Jodar | 42c | 1,000$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Norrie | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Norrie | 31c | 940$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Norrie | 54c | 909.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Jodar | 46c | 865.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Jodar | 47c | 859.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Jodar | 43c | 844.76$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.87 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Norrie | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…5a70backed Norrie | 53c | 811$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Norrie | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Norrie | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Norrie | 56c | 780.1$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.22 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Norrie | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jodar | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Norrie | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jodar | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Norrie | 52c | 664.64$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Norrie | 59c | 659.54$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Jodar | 43c | 658.49$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Norrie | 40c | 651.38$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jodar | 55c | 630.88$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Jodar | 40c | 630$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Jodar | 44c | 593.69$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Norrie | 62c | 582.26$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Norrie | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs NorrieJodar won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.