TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a95…2b65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletichbacked Robert Guna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$193.24
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Brandon Nakashima vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$94.85
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$212.82
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
ITF Astana: Kira Bataikina vs Irem Kurtbacked Irem Kurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.41
Julia Avdeeva vs. Noma Noha Akugue: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.89
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.14
Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.84
The Memphis Classic: Sloane Stephens vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.27
ITF Hechingen: Barbora Palicova vs Federica Urgesibacked Barbora Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$20.33
ITF Amstetten: Vivian Wolff vs Alicia Herrero Linanabacked Alicia Herrero Linana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.01
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$72.05
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$71.72
Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Sherif (+1.5)backed Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+54%+$103.46
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.62
Segovia: Mert Alkaya vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$52.47
Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$29.82
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Carole Monnet vs Jessica Pieribacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$116.22
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$30.11
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
ITF Nottingham: Emily Appleton vs Oceane Dodinbacked Emily Appleton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.79
Newport: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloneybacked Patrick Maloney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.17
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+180%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$69.97
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$152.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$58.64
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.99
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53.87
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$353.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeremiah Wells win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,948.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.