Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6895eafc0f47f324c67c9d5a16b9bb8e4e22210b3b68c6e2a32b8132c6eccf65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iannis Miletichof Robert Guna, Iannis Miletich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Iannis Miletich | 38c | 1,333$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Iannis Miletich | 28c | 1,080$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.67 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Robert Guna | 34c | 1,057$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Iannis Miletich | 34c | 1,030$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.54 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Robert Guna | 60c | 897.8$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.02 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Iannis Miletich | 79c | 890.01$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robert Guna | 46c | 889.53$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.23 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Iannis Miletich | 60c | 700.42$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Robert Guna | 29c | 680.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Iannis Miletich | 31c | 599.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Robert Guna | 68c | 521.84$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.69 | 485 | 55.9%271 W · 214 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Robert Guna | 70c | 502.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Guna | 24c | 437.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Guna | 67c | 405.75$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.85 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Iannis Miletich | 71c | 377.65$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Robert Guna | 51c | 343.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Robert Guna | 53c | 342.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Robert Guna | 54c | 299.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Robert Guna | 21c | 264$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 506 | 55.5%281 W · 225 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Robert Guna | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Iannis Miletich | 74c | 154.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked Robert Guna | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Robert Guna | 41c | 149.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Robert Guna | 36c | 139.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Robert Guna | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…1f32backed Robert Guna | 50c | 110.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Robert Guna | 62c | 99.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Iannis Miletich | 76c | 98.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Robert Guna | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Iannis Miletich | 17c | 98.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…82a2backed Robert Guna | 23c | 92.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Iannis Miletich | 67c | 87.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Iannis Miletich | 36c | 85.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 459 | 35.5%163 W · 296 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Guna | 65c | 80.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Robert Guna | 23c | 76.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Iannis Miletich | 40c | 75.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Robert Guna | 60c | 72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Robert Guna | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Iannis Miletich | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Iannis Miletich | 71c | 66.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Iannis Miletich | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Robert Guna | 77c | 54.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Robert Guna | 42c | 54.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…c8d4backed Robert Guna | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Robert Guna | 70c | 42.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Robert Guna | 52c | 40.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iannis Miletich | 70c | 40.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Robert Guna | 74c | 35.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Robert Guna | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Robert Guna | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Robert Guna | 67c | 23.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Robert Guna | 58c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Robert Guna | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletichthis page
- ITF M15 Arad Men: Completed Match: Robert Guna vs Iannis MiletichYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.