TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e61…2f1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
331
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT29148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 291 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.79
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$51.42
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Tim Handel vs Arthur Nagelbacked Arthur Nagel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Roehampton 2: Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bondingbacked Oliver Bonding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$52.25
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Kokoro Isomura vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked M Rifqi Fitriadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Rinko Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
ITF M25 Taipei Men: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Matthew Dellavedovabacked Yu Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Nakashima vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$56.57
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Lorenzo Comino vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinskibacked Marcel Zielinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Manuel Mazzabacked Manuel Mazza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contribacked Carlos Lopez Montagud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletichbacked Iannis Miletich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$58.8
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$51.63
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Luz/Matosbacked Bolelli/Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5)backed Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Tristan McCormick vs Goncalo Marquesbacked Tristan McCormick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Kumstat vs. Jianu: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Sohyun Park vs Lola Gizabacked Lola Giza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Darya Astakhova vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Rada Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.2
Showing 25 of 291 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)backed Contingent Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.7
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.82
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$120
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$120
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$135.32
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+900%+$144
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.84
LoL: Joblife vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
LoL: Joblife vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$38.35
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$123.38
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.5
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.79
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.