Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf48e22383e3e239e578cb0f8de750eede7c83dd4eafdd885417c5403bb03d473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 40c | 1,606$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.74 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed Under | 11c | 1,013$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 52c | 970.57$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.72 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 38c | 844.38$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.46 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Under | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 39c | 708.81$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.64 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Over | 51c | 599.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 60c | 572.7$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 375 | 54.4%204 W · 171 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 48c | 547.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.21 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 40c | 467.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 49c | 450.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Under | 53c | 399.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 48c | 319.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under | 51c | 269.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Over | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 48c | 201.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Under | 57c | 198.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…0917backed Over | 50c | 195.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 50c | 193.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f80…ce62backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 47c | 184.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 48c | 156.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 56c | 144.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under | 16c | 126.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Under | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 22c | 118.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 19c | 115.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8f8cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 51c | 99.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 78.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 49c | 77.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 45c | 75.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…9c7abacked Over | 52c | 65.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 48c | 54.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 49c | 53.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Under | 41c | 44.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…51a3backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…f119backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…13aabacked Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…eb60backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Over | 54c | 35.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 51c | 31.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…f6eabacked Under | 58c | 28.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 42c | 27.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 49c | 24.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…3a68backed Over | 52c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Under | 55c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…3be2backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…bf48backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…a588backed Over | 58c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…6d09backed Over | 73c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.