Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5983f2972496b9be00d95847478564b2a0bdd331fca47b2bbde9376510fe2a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Over | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 44c | 1,152$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.55 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Over | 21c | 920$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Over | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Over | 5c | 534.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 56c | 458.61$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.82 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…9c89backed Under | 45c | 445.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 55c | 440.84$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 55c | 426.16$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.39 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 55c | 398.18$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 49c | 244.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…80febacked Under | 51c | 226.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Over | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 34c | 160.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Under | 49c | 101.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 342 | 37.7%129 W · 213 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Under | 21c | 96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2766backed Over | 56c | 80.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under | 35c | 56.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Under | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 23c | 51.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Over | 23c | 51.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…f119backed Under | 41c | 48.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked Over | 43c | 47.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 58c | 46.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…2c0abacked Over | 23c | 44.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 55c | 42.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…6d09backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…d71cbacked Over | 43c | 35.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…eb93backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…3513backed Over | 48c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9eafbacked Over | 33c | 30.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked Over | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…3cdfbacked Over | 38c | 26.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…4aacbacked Under | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b9…543ebacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Over | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Over | 79c | 18.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Over | 58c | 17.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 4?LYON won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.