TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,357,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,878,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,357,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed LYON18c126,463$22,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,530.621,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd190…38f9backed LYON6c78,500$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Hanwha Life Esports78c75,259$58,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,646.573754.1%20 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ee18backed LYON0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed LYON22c39,788$8,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,775.6830845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON19c38,822$7,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,376.4669741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hanwha Life Esports80c33,034$26,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.211,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked LYON22c32,892$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.4425244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed LYON19c30,526$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80048742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked LYON22c30,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.9949541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LYON1c29,132$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.489347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6364…1c50backed LYON22c24,785$5,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,452.65633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed LYON22c22,727$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.997349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LYON17c22,517$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.5284942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON1c22,222$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.441,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Hanwha Life Esports77c22,222$17,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.0517555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed LYON21c21,929$4,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,605.0338235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked LYON20c21,469$4,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.8220546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Hanwha Life Esports77c21,000$16,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.9722451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Hanwha Life Esports78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4003050%15 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Hanwha Life Esports80c18,914$15,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.6946050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Hanwha Life Esports80c18,382$14,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.076046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed LYON23c16,247$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.8153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed LYON24c16,085$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.9448149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed LYON23c15,831$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600.9932150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked LYON23c14,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1601,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LYON16c13,490$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.061,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON8c13,394$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.51,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON24c13,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.5591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hanwha Life Esports76c12,295$9,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.81,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hanwha Life Esports76c12,091$9,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.8190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LYON21c11,833$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46557957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Hanwha Life Esports78c11,828$9,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.531,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON11c10,953$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.012,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Hanwha Life Esports77c9,999$7,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.381,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LYON19c9,803$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.352,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed LYON20c9,185$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8371650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked LYON24c9,151$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.7432555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed LYON19c9,034$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.1831644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked LYON2c9,000$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LYON33c9,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.971,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Hanwha Life Esports78c8,937$6,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.8918741.2%77 W · 110 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed LYON18c8,731$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.5676142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14c…5fbdbacked LYON13c8,633$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.5411635.3%41 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed LYON7c8,419$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.7541347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed LYON20c8,250$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.589943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed LYON27c7,863$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.4148157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Hanwha Life Esports66c7,769$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.177143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed LYON18c7,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…faa0backed LYON19c7,385$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Hanwha Life Esports79c7,197$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.398651.2%44 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked LYON3c6,940$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3425944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed LYON18c6,830$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006949.3%34 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Hanwha Life Esports80c6,552$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.678350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Hanwha Life Esports79c6,500$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.9936155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed LYON24c6,169$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.0235448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Hanwha Life Esports79c6,011$4,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.3921056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Hanwha Life Esports76c5,500$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.991,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON24c5,250$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2652,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed LYON10c5,163$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5238339.7%152 W · 231 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LYON16c5,100$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81497427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x555f…83a0backed Hanwha Life Esports77c5,056$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.792250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Hanwha Life Esports78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed LYON19c4,990$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.1313240.9%54 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed LYON23c4,833$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed LYON1c4,780$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.187869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df4…153cbacked LYON24c4,771$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.179833.7%33 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Hanwha Life Esports79c4,746$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.6216954.4%92 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed LYON13c4,675$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.6641439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…aa69backed LYON26c4,672$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Hanwha Life Esports77c4,545$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.451,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed LYON21c4,506$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.3547838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed LYON3c4,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LYON16c4,375$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.073,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked LYON23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed LYON12c4,334$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3813450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Hanwha Life Esports79c4,254$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.9128859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked LYON24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked LYON24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked LYON24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked LYON12c4,040$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012045%54 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed LYON25c4,026$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…2a2dbacked Hanwha Life Esports77c4,000$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.0412458.1%72 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed LYON15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa043…b419backed LYON16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010543.8%46 W · 59 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked LYON18c3,750$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f16…801abacked LYON24c3,750$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Hanwha Life Esports68c3,734$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed LYON24c3,650$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.0115033.3%50 W · 100 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed LYON2c3,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708130.9%25 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0b…88c6backed Hanwha Life Esports79c3,445$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked LYON23c3,435$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.6911138.7%43 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed LYON18c3,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked LYON14c3,286$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6510541.9%44 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed LYON25c3,262$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Hanwha Life Esports79c3,159$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.4812036.7%44 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked LYON32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Hanwha Life Esports69c3,112$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.2713561.5%83 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LYON21c3,089$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3669539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…21d7backed LYON19c3,060$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.455932.2%19 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.