TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcfde…3f9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT11838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,125.73
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,861Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$4,233.78
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$1,130.65
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,134.11
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,025
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$1,029.16
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,970.15
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.3
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$961
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$404.27
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.1%+$15.69
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$371
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,385.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$232.2
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.26
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+212.5%+$251.6
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,135.43
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$11.05
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$154.34
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$137.9
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$439.54
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.25
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,846.15
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$28.56
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$206.22
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$180.56
Weber State Wildcats vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Sacramento State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$949.18
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$4,082.01
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,862
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$292.32
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$91.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$61.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,324.6
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$521.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$356.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,114.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: Bremerhaven vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,732.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,986.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$78.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$276.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$84.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$530
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$476.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.