Spread: Japan (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a6455b7ac593b760f63400e43afe3c613d14bb20755b1f3c83039419edcf44

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Swedenof Japan, Sweden
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,025,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $955,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Sweden	77c	195,226$150,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,338.55	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sweden	77c	171,822$132,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,021.94	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Japan	23c	117,549$26,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,753.53	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Japan	28c	114,877$32,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,509.15	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Japan	14c	85,589$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Sweden	77c	75,000$57,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,249.95	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Japan	23c	50,000$11,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,500	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Japan	23c	42,441$9,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,761.53	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Japan	24c	30,909$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Japan	18c	18,922$3,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,395.18	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Japan	24c	18,000$4,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,239.98	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sweden	77c	17,500$13,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,025	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Japan	9c	15,765$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465.33	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Sweden	73c	12,674$9,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,396.62	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Japan	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Japan	28c	10,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,759.98	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Japan	28c	9,496$2,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,658.88	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Sweden	78c	9,179$7,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.38	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sweden	72c	9,098$6,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,547.3	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Sweden	73c	9,086$6,601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,485.01	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked Japan	23c	8,466$1,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,947.28	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Japan	23c	8,066$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.18	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa940…9cffbacked Japan	7c	7,143$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sweden	71c	7,009$5,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,997.63	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sweden	72c	6,603$4,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,818.9	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sweden	73c	6,500$4,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,765.4	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Sweden	78c	6,000$4,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Japan	23c	5,510$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.3	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Japan	23c	5,309$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Japan	25c	5,200$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Japan	29c	5,172$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Japan	9c	5,104$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.44	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Japan	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden	75c	4,789$3,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.29	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Japan	23c	4,590$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.98	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sweden	73c	4,547$3,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,234.85	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Japan	23c	4,066$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.18	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Sweden	72c	4,003$2,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.98	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Japan	21c	4,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.99	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Japan	28c	4,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.99	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Japan	29c	3,793$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Japan	25c	3,763$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.78	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Japan	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Japan	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Japan	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Japan	20c	3,452$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Sweden	70c	3,323$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.02	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Sweden	72c	3,000$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.94	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sweden	74c	2,884$2,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.9	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Japan	27c	2,700$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Sweden	71c	2,563$1,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.17	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Japan	23c	2,291$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Japan	22c	2,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Japan	17c	2,264$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.97	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Sweden	72c	2,180$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.09	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Sweden	74c	2,038$1,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.82	78	65.4%51 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Sweden	71c	2,022$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.27	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Japan	19c	2,005$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.62	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Japan	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Sweden	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Japan	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sweden	71c	1,972$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.88	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Japan	25c	1,948$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.08	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Japan	17c	1,870$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Sweden	78c	1,820$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.4	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Japan	29c	1,711$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.86	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Japan	23c	1,706$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.27	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Japan	26c	1,688$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.85	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Japan	26c	1,529$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Japan	33c	1,507$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Sweden	71c	1,500$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Japan	26c	1,462$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.86	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed Japan	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+26%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Japan	43c	1,428$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.29	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Japan	25c	1,412$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Japan	28c	1,396$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.75	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Sweden	70c	1,353$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.44	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Sweden	57c	1,352$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.88	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Japan	20c	1,333$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.06	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Japan	23c	1,331$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.07	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Japan	7c	1,319$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.73	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Japan	23c	1,304$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Sweden	78c	1,296$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.76	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Japan	29c	1,200$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Japan	21c	1,200$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sweden	77c	1,189$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.5	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Japan	22c	1,170$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.33	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Japan	27c	1,160$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.2	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Japan	21c	1,142$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.81	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Sweden	72c	1,135$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.83	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb120…3df9backed Japan	23c	1,130$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Sweden	79c	1,100$869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Japan	12c	1,091$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.26	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Sweden	73c	1,045$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.39	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Japan	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Japan	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Japan	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Japan	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Japan	28c	1,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Japan	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Japan (-1.5)this page
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event