Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Half

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0fc5bdeb28080f2c49f78a414af4970779fda945b6f09a0c39b13ac53b467d0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,670 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Yes	5c	4,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	79c	3,047$2,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.3	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	21c	1,762$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.42	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	79c	1,481$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.61	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Yes	21c	1,177$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	93	18.3%17 W · 76 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	22c	1,151$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.72	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Yes	27c	934.93$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes	24c	931.73$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.26	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes	22c	905.83$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.8	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes	17c	799.98$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	122	23%28 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	20c	732.51$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.83	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	79c	597.6$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.44	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes	21c	473.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	31%27 W · 60 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	74c	456.94$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	79c	454.76$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.5	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	80c	419.77$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.77	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…5e89backed Yes	21c	395.24$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes	14c	350.9$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.18	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No	78c	299.99$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	72c	281.93$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.94	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	71c	276$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.04	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	78c	273.02$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.06	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x232a…5b89backed Yes	15c	269.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	172	40.7%70 W · 102 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked No	79c	207$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.47	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	15c	198.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes	12c	189.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes	22c	174.79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes	21c	166.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	207	29%60 W · 147 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	78c	160.97$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.41	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	78c	159.99$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.2	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	16c	147.85$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Yes	22c	136.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	148	41.9%62 W · 86 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	20c	135.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	73c	133$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.96	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa353…cfcebacked Yes	22c	126.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed No	80c	121.88$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	366	31.1%114 W · 252 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4629…ab9abacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed4d…a43abacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	7.9%5 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes	21c	109.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	60	40%24 W · 36 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639c…de6dbacked Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5090…9e15backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf927…94b5backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes	21c	89.1$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	126	31%39 W · 87 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	16c	88.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0f05…23ffbacked Yes	21c	73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Yes	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	222	42.3%94 W · 128 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f08…f01dbacked Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No	78c	55.32$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.17	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes	21c	55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa886…9fd2backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed No	77c	42$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.35	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed0…0f43backed No	79c	24.72$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No	79c	19.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	161	57.8%93 W · 68 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed No	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No	77c	17.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	76c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	79c	13.84$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.86	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Half

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event