TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c17,909$10,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,468.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbd…8990backed Over63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c2,133$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.482,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c2,084$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.62,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c1,757$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.083,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c1,640$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over55c1,637$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.7341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under48c1,450$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c1,058$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under28c1,007$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8719750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under29c999.19$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under39c968.55$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.944233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under56c933.49$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c859.75$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under55c816$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.816165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over68c761.76$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.768652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4424046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Over53c621.03$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.8113636.8%50 W · 86 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under34c584.19$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over66c573.58$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0212947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under28c511.51$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30029232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…ad8cbacked Over72c410$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under27c373.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.621,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6514029.3%41 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Under57c351.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005749.1%28 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Over68c333.04$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.579237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over69c321.44$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2810844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under49c306.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7835251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under30c249.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.371,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Over70c244.93$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.937843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over70c243.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.571,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c226.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.062,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under57c212.88$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.341,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010851.9%56 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10814655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under32c199.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.571,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under28c195.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.851,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c181.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Over63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.52842.9%12 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over69c166.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.533,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under29c162.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…dbe9backed Over67c148.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.38949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over68c147.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3510849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0613752.6%72 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8912048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c128$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.42,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Under61c125.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7420942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8855…83adbacked Over36c119.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.783020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over42c113.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4912848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c112.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f5…3ffabacked Over45c108.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.821435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under14c105$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over47c104.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under31c103.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over74c100.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1415667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c98.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Over67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5513742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c85.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Under60c76.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8511547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…5bf0backed Over68c76.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c45fbacked Over72c70.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.812958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…35e5backed Over69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b0…0c9bbacked Over72c69.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.586473.4%47 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5719660.7%119 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over79c63.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3711563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over46c63.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.217142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over51c61.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0322560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c60.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.152,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over78c59.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0917659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Under33c59.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8611331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb119…7132backed Over40c49.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Under31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158640.7%35 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241d…bb60backed Over67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.329255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6838…6911backed Over44c45.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.098028.8%23 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9426…b97bbacked Over48c44.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…e4e5backed Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over45c44.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0224140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9090…2e91backed Under54c41.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under31c40.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under33c36.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over62c36.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce0…7c5ebacked Over45c36.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4420…fc1fbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.345472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.823665.3%154 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebcd…eff0backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7812358.5%72 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810650%53 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over67c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.