TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c15,895$10,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c9,360$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.032,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over20c5,166$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.1365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c4,242$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.992,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.1723942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over31c2,666$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8278156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c2,563$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under65c2,247$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.241,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c2,133$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c1,801$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.552,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c1,439$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.862,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under69c1,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over9c1,138$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.435238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c1,131$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c1,032$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.151,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over29c1,020$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over22c929.27$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.748328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over27c925$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.752,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under71c910.77$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.033,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over32c904.21$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.213046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over35c811.46$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under66c721.31$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dae…ad8cbacked Over34c640$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c618.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17412947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15529232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a87…2500backed Over28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Over28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over40c482.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.652,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over32c463.29$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.292,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over29c445.21$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over32c419.63$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.287949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under70c414.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.395739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over30c317.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8b…25b7backed Over34c314.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over37c311.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11516136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013752.6%72 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over28c298.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over27c283.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9728444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under80c273.71$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over13c252.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over31c232$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.881,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under67c223.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.986338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c205.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under71c202.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.131,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Over35c185.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…dbe9backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…bbcbbacked Over29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.35630.4%17 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over32c156.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0722135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over41c154.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.552,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2967…4ae7backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5641…6b17backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2511242.9%48 W · 64 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…fb7fbacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over29c136.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Over26c125.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.113636.8%50 W · 86 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241d…bb60backed Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.089255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under67c121.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Over37c110.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.864228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313740.1%55 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…44bcbacked Over29c102.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.632040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c65…b9eebacked Over16c101.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382842.9%12 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99b5…0b19backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Over34c87.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Over34c77.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7116…18abbacked Over35c68.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.964522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over28c66.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7487837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Over33c64.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.382437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under77c59.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Over29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713833.3%46 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f8…21e2backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under69c56.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4621341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under71c55.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa3…6912backed Over28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154242.9%18 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under67c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Over35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0511343.4%49 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under63c41.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7136448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd301…f176backed Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158055%44 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under69c40.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010037%37 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under66c39.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3343460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under28c38.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.922,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under70c38.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0b…0d37backed Over29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over34c37.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.032,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under67c34.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over34c33.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.