Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f6be73436e9e3b79dec665ec99af4f6f5ab3a1f7de42b8365f955bb2cd4034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 6c | 11,892$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.28 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…3d69backed Over | 7c | 9,490$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.33 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Over | 6c | 8,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 6c | 6,554$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 6c | 4,688$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 4,631$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 1c | 4,258$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 7c | 3,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 6c | 1,902$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 6c | 1,865$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Over | 6c | 1,563$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 1,521$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…298dbacked Over | 7c | 1,381$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 6c | 1,077$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 1,077$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…80a6backed Over | 6c | 1,001$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…01d7backed Over | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Over | 6c | 833.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 7c | 780.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 6c | 700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…d755backed Over | 4c | 535$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 5c | 474$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 6c | 468.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 411.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed Over | 6c | 390.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 6c | 384.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 6c | 342.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 6c | 325.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Over | 6c | 323.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 6c | 310.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 6c | 307.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…daaebacked Over | 7c | 305.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 6c | 301.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 4c | 281.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Over | 6c | 273.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 7c | 236.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 6c | 223.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…a421backed Over | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 6c | 202.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5this page
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.