TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c30,889$8,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,231.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c9,266$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.874,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over80c8,918$7,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c5,138$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c4,354$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.162,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over69c3,639$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over76c3,271$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.372642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over55c2,354$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.887146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c2,313$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over80c2,125$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42523942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over76c1,848$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Under27c1,500$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c1,301$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over79c1,260$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over68c1,228$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726910.1%7 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over77c1,045$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.557374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under19c1,002$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.911,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf6…cc47backed Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013349.6%66 W · 67 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under20c895.8$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16016655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2722846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under20c543.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under15c535$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.853,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under46c499.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over70c494.89$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.511,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under13c487.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.022,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c483.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.462,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c446.12$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…08e9backed Over63c424.58$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.684245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under48c387.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18710340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over66c312$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.499573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.381,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c294.77$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.821,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under5c289.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.481,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7111749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c17…aac5backed Over64c261.59$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over69c255$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.172,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae0…3616backed Over75c252.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.085044%22 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c241.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under14c211.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68731%27 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3344…cabcbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fff…89e9backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over69c198$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1928240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over79c169.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.645863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c167.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.491,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c163.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.772,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under21c161.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.791,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under21c157$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.881,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over80c147.49$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6437237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over69c133$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2322560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e6…0210backed Over80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268863.6%56 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259053.3%48 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over68c123.62$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.321,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over59c120.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8517659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9640…bf25backed Over66c115.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf994…892cbacked Over73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under35c103.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c93.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over80c93.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6415667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under14c88.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.428231.7%26 W · 56 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8156…d978backed Over57c87.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8916442.1%69 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over60c82.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8510753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Over54c77.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.565543.6%24 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2cf…9a91backed Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.734847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over80c72.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…c4adbacked Over55c72.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.757646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over80c72.12$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4273234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under21c71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad47…96e8backed Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.814247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under29c60.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6378234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c60.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.192,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Under21c52.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0617432.8%57 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over78c51.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Over68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610548.6%51 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.189454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under29c47.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.711,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8f…6e47backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315042%63 W · 87 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over59c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.043,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Over71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.68053.8%43 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under47c38.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1662…9b28backed Over80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a4…d0fcbacked Over54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423665.3%154 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427765.3%181 W · 96 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70de…a73dbacked Over80c16.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…8150backed Over79c13.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.875682.1%46 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.