TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc22…ee03

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.64
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$46.98
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.11
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Will Lonzo Ball stay with the Chicago Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+150%+$22.5
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+25%+$9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$35.7
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$72.63
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.6
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$88.6
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.33
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.08
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$16.6
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Rockies vs. Cardinalsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Scorigami in NFL Week 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$26.92
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Cardinals vs. Broncos backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
49ers vs. Raiders backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Jared Verse win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+27.2%+$5.44
Will Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+35.9%+$71.76
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+33%+$18.16
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Duke vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Florida vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Old Dominion vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Memphis vs. Troybacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+56%+$8.4
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+37%+$7.4
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+41.1%+$56.54
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+51.6%+$15.47
West Virginia vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick66cpaid-75.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8
Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Charleston vs. UNC Wilmingtonbacked UNC Wilmington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
St. John's vs. Villanovabacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$39.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Team WEbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$116.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$70.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$14.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.