NFL · resolved market
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02bffb29e57328ee352cd39bc254a875aac835b50e0bc7c2f575aef0a0d959cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 66c | 2,576$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.49 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 33c | 2,046$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 60c | 1,925$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.7 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked No | 67c | 1,875$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…42e5backed Yes | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 67c | 1,598$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…d13cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,358$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 1,236$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.61 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 63c | 1,163$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.41 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 31c | 959.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e97…9ddebacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 72c | 815.77$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.86 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 69c | 800$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.3 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 32c | 739.39$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…93c7backed No | 65c | 712.48$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 58c | 661.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.92 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…3dd4backed Yes | 34c | 600$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 578.44$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 32c | 551.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 30c | 523.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 36c | 516.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…aed5backed Yes | 49c | 511.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed No | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 68c | 480.44$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 30c | 449.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed Yes | 32c | 445.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 31c | 411.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 68c | 408.59$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…b27bbacked Yes | 48c | 383.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 58c | 353.82$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 58c | 342.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…8859backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…38b1backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 68c | 330$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 70c | 320.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…1377backed Yes | 23c | 320$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 315.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…2b52backed Yes | 33c | 303.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 28c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…c166backed Yes | 30c | 293$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…c2acbacked Yes | 29c | 274.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 55c | 270$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…297ebacked Yes | 34c | 255.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…da68backed Yes | 33c | 255.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 35c | 254.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 64c | 254.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 29c | 246.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2993backed Yes | 41c | 245.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 31c | 244.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…f0b1backed Yes | 42c | 238.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 39c | 237.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 66c | 236.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 66c | 230$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 68c | 228.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked No | 58c | 227.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 68c | 225$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…0849backed Yes | 50c | 220.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Yes | 45c | 220.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 47c | 214.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…8e80backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 44c | 204.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 31c | 197.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 71c | 187.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…7621backed Yes | 33c | 179.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 30c | 176.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 162.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf863…82ccbacked Yes | 37c | 158.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 155.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked No | 55c | 146.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 73c | 144.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 29c | 142.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9b…02cabacked Yes | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…8a0abacked Yes | 46c | 130.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 67c | 127.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 48c | 124.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…fd02backed Yes | 40c | 123.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 30c | 117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 76c | 114.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…a81fbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…f0ebbacked Yes | 46c | 108.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0021backed No | 64c | 107.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ed6abacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Yes | 29c | 102.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 66c | 100.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…10b7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…6e95backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611e…e3cebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?this page
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 0 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 1 time?Yes won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 2 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 3 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 4 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 5 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 6 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 7 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 8 times?No won
- Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 9 times?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.