TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f39…a78c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
734
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT21350.2%107 W · 106 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 213 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+224.1%+$27.7
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$181.83
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or higher on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122%+$109.1
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+102.3%+$10.77
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+120.4%+$196.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$163.08
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 2 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+32.3%+$6.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on January 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+176.2%+$25.72
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on January 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$39.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on January 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+32.7%+$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+1,150%+$181.93
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.81
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$147.72
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.79
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.3%+$90.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+73.2%+$62.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49.68
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Showing 25 of 213 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT9225%23 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+254.8%+$64.3
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34%+$10.71
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.1
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+198.9%+$68.07
Will Trump post 140-149 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will Trump post 80-89 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Kanye tweet 50-99 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.39
Will Trump post 140-159 times on Truth Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Kanye tweet 200-399 times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120.47
Will Kanye tweet 400 or more times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$134.68
Will Trump post 100-119 times on Truth Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+699.7%+$81.5
Will Trump post 120-139 times on Truth Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.46
Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+431.3%+$294.39
Will Kanye tweet 50-99 times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+126.9%+$27.02
Will trump tweet 5-6 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$16.75
Will trump tweet 3-4 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+183.7%+$195.89
Will trump tweet 7-8 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$16.07
Will trump tweet 1-2 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$121.21
Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+102%+$301.98
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Nov 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$47.83
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT7038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.3
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.72
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.49
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 59 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.76
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 57 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+319.2%+$798.24
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+112.2%+$33.58
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.4
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $85m and $92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.76
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+117.7%+$174.54
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.58
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.64
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+1,720.5%+$214.61
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 75?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.44
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$153.36
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.58
Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+292%+$30.54
Will "Fight or Flight" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+31%+$10.65
Will 'King of Kings' make between $21-24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will 'King of Kings' make more than $24m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.8
Will 'King of Kings' make between $15-18m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.28
Will 'King of Kings' make between $18-21m on its domestic opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+289.5%+$456.66
Will 'A Working Man' gross between 14-17m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$7.21
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT5322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be 4% or less?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be more than 4% and up to 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+250.9%+$28.6
Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$46.99
Will Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+141.1%+$103.95
Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+430.9%+$620.9
Will Donald Trump sign 25-29 executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.13
Will Donald Trump sign 20-24 executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.13
Will Donald Trump sign 15-19 executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.35
Will Donald Trump sign 10-14 executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.34
Will Donald Trump sign 5-9 executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Donald Trump sign less than 5 executive orders in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 70-80 min?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46.54
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 60-70 min?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.21
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$114.45
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 50-60 min?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.83
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+114.4%+$141.63
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 47.5% on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.62
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61.23
Will Donald Trump sign 30-31 executive orders in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+56.1%+$13.59
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+38.1%+$6.34
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+371%+$550.99
Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$104.4
Nine Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$206.94
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.5%+$194.57
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$81.39
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.2
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39.88
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+99.8%+$133.6
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$82.93
Will Shrewsbury Town FC win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+356.6%+$230.77
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$162.78
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41.37
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Mauricio Pochettino be England's next manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will another person be England's next manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will Jurgen Klopp be England's next manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.61
Will Graham Potter be England's next manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will Thomas Tuchel be England's next manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT+459.5%+$98.56
Will Wolverhampton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will Chelsea beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$75.77
Will Bournemouth beat Newcastle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.58
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+366.9%+$43.01
Will Manchester United beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Brighton vs Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Brighton beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+332.7%+$34.59
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+127.7%+$37.77
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEWbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.03
Will Jeannette Jara and Johannes Kaiser advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$33.21
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+69.3%+$54.52
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.89
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+210.2%+$683.32
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$600.13
Will the NDP win between 7 and 8 seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$54.91
Will the NDP win between 5 and 6 seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will the NDP win 9 or more seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.99
Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$488.36
Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68.3
Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+295.7%+$80.71
Will the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.28
Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,253.3
Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,383Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+79.3%+$1,890.65
Will the Liberal party win the most seats in the 2024 New Brunswick general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+48.5%+$8.19
Will Sajith Premadasa win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$76.4
Will Anura Dissanayake win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+39.5%+$142.7
Will Ranil Wickremesinghe win the Sri Lankan presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$29.73
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.86
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 DT, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+467%+$65.89
Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+133.2%+$175.55
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.36
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 4 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.7
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 7 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.53
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 8 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.87
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34.93
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.31
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+308.1%+$99.44
Will the Falcons win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$339
Will the Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+208.4%+$526.48
Will the Washington Commanders win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+161.4%+$247
Will the Saints win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$81.2
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$146
Will the New York Giants win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Russell Wilson Week 1 starter for Steelers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.24
Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded to the Steelers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.66
Will Brandon Aiyuk stay on the 49ers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$51.29
Will Brandon Aiyuk be traded to another team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.01
All 23 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$233.45
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.12
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will NEC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.84
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+59.8%+$13.1
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.4%+$9.46
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.98
Will St Mirren FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.42
Will Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Dundee FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
Will Dundee FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$63.16
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.66
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will NEC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will NEC vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$31.68
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$13.34
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Plzen win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.4
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.84
Will Lazio vs. Plzen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$266.84
Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.64
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.02
Will the match between Hoffenheim and Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.15
Will Tottenham beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$155.76
Will Nice beat Real Sociedad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$212
Will the match between Galatasaray and PAOK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.14
Will PAOK beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will the match between Nice and Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$132
Will Galatasaray beat PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$185.99
Will Real Sociedad beat Nice?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$102
Will Hoffenheim beat Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Will Midtjylland beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$289.76
Will AZ Alkmaar beat IF Elfsborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+41.9%+$117.92
Will IF Elfsborg beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$31.02
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Vinicius Junior score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Kylian Mbappé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.55
Will Serhou Guirassy score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.53
Will Harry Kane score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.43
Will Rodri score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.69
Will Erling Haaland score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.5
Will Lionel Messi score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+25%+$5.9
Will Celtic beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.16
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will the match between Benfica and Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.4
Will Barcelona beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+316.7%+$36.48
Will Benfica beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+761.1%+$98.6
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.03
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Nuggets beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will the Thunder beat the Nuggets 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$24.6
NBA Playoffs 1st Round: Less than 3 upsets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$155
NBA Playoffs 1st Round: 3 first round upsets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.6
Will the Clippers beat the Nuggets 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Nuggets beat the Clippers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will the Nuggets beat the Clippers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best regular season record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$55.5
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2024 NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+166%+$68.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$13.21
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$138.65
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.7%+$285.16
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+216.3%+$173.34
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$177.24
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$123.22
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+101%+$165.48
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$5.26
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$18.19
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.25
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$28.4
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$271.1
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+188.7%+$438.78
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+115.3%+$31.09
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.51
Will a Democrat win Maine US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+59%+$74.2
Will a Democrat win Missouri US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$18.4
Will a Democrat win New York US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+61%+$286.15
Will a Republican win New York US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$21.34
Will a Democrat win New Mexico US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+58.7%+$74
Will a Republican win New Mexico US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Will a Republican win Rhode Island US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$11.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.83
Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+255.4%+$292.39
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$103.05
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$146.09
Will Burgos CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.74
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+30.1%+$38.7
Will Albacete Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.11
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$346.97
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+469.1%+$539.62
Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.15
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.83
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will CA Juventud vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$166.39
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$105.37
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86.02
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+195.3%+$48.28
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-54.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $IP be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will $HYPE be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will $AI16Z be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will $SPX be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will $KAITO be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will $BERA be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will $VIRTUAL be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will $APT be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will another coin be the next listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+180.6%+$154.76
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+72.1%+$14.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Niger win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Will Niger vs. Togo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Togo win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+354%+$55.71
Will Egypt vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+161.9%+$117.81
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$81.17
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.82
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.7%+$53.48
Will Greece vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$115.23
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$33.53
Will Italy vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.28
Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.41
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.95
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+429.5%+$481.9
Will the US add more than 250k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.9
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+67.8%+$29.65
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+66.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New South Wales Blues win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.27
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Columbus Crew beat Toronto FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.82
MLS: Will Toronto FC beat Columbus Crew?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$20.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.