Token Launches · resolved market
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b07ed97d10051f2a63821e47ff46d71d4f479fa255ce8a6e07d5325ac06a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f01…9f44backed Yes | 67c | 12,162$8,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…895bbacked No | 48c | 10,992$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…ebf8backed Yes | 52c | 10,992$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…92fbbacked No | 50c | 9,316$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…b2c3backed Yes | 50c | 9,316$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…5febbacked No | 50c | 4,162$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…9c6abacked Yes | 50c | 4,162$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 57c | 4,106$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…bc6cbacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…1eaabacked Yes | 59c | 2,767$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 54c | 2,689$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.79 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,372$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.53 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…20f3backed No | 50c | 2,086$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f31…1fcbbacked No | 49c | 2,042$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…763dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,987$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed No | 53c | 1,730$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…fc15backed Yes | 50c | 1,714$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 24c | 1,678$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.82 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…2ccdbacked No | 45c | 1,666$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed No | 65c | 1,573$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 1,556$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…2e0bbacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 13c | 1,500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaae…6538backed No | 10c | 1,301$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 75c | 1,237$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f7…df0cbacked Yes | 73c | 920.6$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…7ad0backed Yes | 58c | 869.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…4d1bbacked Yes | 54c | 662.05$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 43c | 620.87$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…1953backed No | 36c | 594.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed No | 32c | 533.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…580ebacked Yes | 33c | 468.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked Yes | 19c | 462.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Yes | 43c | 461.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…35fabacked No | 77c | 441.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…ea68backed Yes | 23c | 441.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…4553backed Yes | 40c | 400.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 3c | 336.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…a2a2backed Yes | 78c | 335.17$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…672fbacked Yes | 76c | 329.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…3313backed Yes | 56c | 299.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdc…7896backed Yes | 59c | 264.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…54afbacked Yes | 53c | 251.38$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed Yes | 40c | 246.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked Yes | 22c | 239.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…667ebacked Yes | 77c | 222$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…ee74backed Yes | 80c | 206.05$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…123bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…fd80backed Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 197.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 17c | 191.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 80c | 168.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…d472backed Yes | 37c | 168.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 10c | 158.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…33d4backed No | 52c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…51e6backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 73c | 144.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…185ebacked Yes | 39c | 127.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…5093backed Yes | 40c | 111.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…2148backed Yes | 21c | 106.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253a…6392backed Yes | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f40…0477backed Yes | 52c | 104.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…43d0backed Yes | 65c | 102.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 42c | 102$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…bd9cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…7472backed Yes | 27c | 93.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 45c | 92.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…cc0dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…5bdcbacked Yes | 56c | 89.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 60c | 88.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 88.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…ec9abacked No | 46c | 82.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed Yes | 64c | 77.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 51c | 70.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…5fd8backed No | 76c | 65.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 21c | 63.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…825fbacked No | 51c | 63.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 20c | 61.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…7f67backed Yes | 33c | 61.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…9474backed Yes | 77c | 56.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…5312backed Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked Yes | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…ddc6backed Yes | 58c | 52.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…7e58backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0a…f94ebacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…9c8ebacked Yes | 67c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…b42bbacked Yes | 51c | 44.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…87acbacked Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215e…dd56backed No | 59c | 42.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…eac1backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…0ad3backed Yes | 34c | 39.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…82a1backed Yes | 51c | 39.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…36ddbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4627backed Yes | 47c | 37.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…be72backed No | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?this page
- Will Berachain launch a token in December?No won
- Will Berachain launch a token in November?No won
- Will Berachain launch a token in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.